The New Saints vs Penybont FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

The New Saints

W W W L W

1st place in League

6-2

11/10/2025 09:15

Penybont FC

W L D D W

3rd place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for The New Saints vs Penybont FC on 11 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full The New Saints vs Penybont FC preview before placing your bet.

The New Saints are currently 1st with 53 points after 22 matches.
Penybont FC sit 3rd with 38 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: The New Saints to win with probability 61%.
Head-to-head history favors The New Saints, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Penybont FC have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:15

2025-10-11

The New Saints vs Penybont FC - Prediction & Odds

The New Saints

Penybont FC

2025-10-11 09:15

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	53	22	17	2	3	59	19	40
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	14	5	3	48	25	23
03 Penybont FC	38	22	11	5	6	36	31	5
04 Caernarfon	34	22	9	7	6	44	32	12
05 Barry Town United	30	22	7	9	6	33	25	8
06 Colwyn Bay	30	22	8	6	8	29	25	4
07 UWIC Inter Cardiff	28	22	6	10	6	33	36	-3
08 Briton Ferry Athletic	25	22	6	7	9	32	40	-8
09 Haverfordwest County	24	22	6	6	10	30	39	-9
10 Bala Town F.C.	23	22	6	5	11	19	30	-11
11 Flint Town	21	22	5	6	11	34	48	-14
12 Llanelli	8	22	2	2	18	12	59	-47

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	80	10	9	0	1	22	6	16
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	58	10	2	5	3	13	13	0
03 Barry Town United	46	10	5	1	4	10	8	2
04 Colwyn Bay	45	10	4	3	3	12	12	0
05 Caernarfon	45	10	3	2	5	12	15	-3
06 Penybont FC	41	10	0	3	7	3	18	-15

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Haverfordwest County	48	10	8	0	2	18	4	14
02 Briton Ferry Athletic	45	10	6	2	2	14	7	7
03 UWIC Inter Cardiff	38	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5
04 Flint Town	35	10	3	5	2	14	11	3
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	10	2	3	5	14	15	-1
06 Llanelli	13	10	1	2	7	5	23	-18

Head To Head

16/08/2025 09:15

Pen-y-Bont FC

0 - 2

The New Saints

Welsh PR

29/03/2025 07:30

Pen-y-Bont FC

1 - 0

The New Saints

Welsh PR

08/02/2025 05:15

The New Saints

4 - 0

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

23/11/2024 07:30

The New Saints

3 - 2

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

20/09/2024 11:45

Pen-y-Bont FC

2 - 1

The New Saints

Welsh PR

16/12/2023 07:30

The New Saints

3 - 0

Pen-y-Bont FC

Welsh PR

The New Saints

67%

Draw

Penybont FC

33%

The New Saints Last 6 matches

26/09/2025 11:45

Bala Town F.C. 0 - 2 The New Saints Welsh PR

23/09/2025 11:45

The New Saints 4 - 2 Flint Town Welsh PR

19/09/2025 11:45

UWIC Inter Cardiff 1 - 3 The New Saints Welsh PR

13/09/2025 04:30

The New Saints 6 - 0 Llanelli Welsh PR

10/09/2025 11:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 3 The New Saints WAL CLC

06/09/2025 04:30

The New Saints 5 - 0 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Penybont FC

03/10/2025 11:45

Briton Ferry Athletic 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

27/09/2025 06:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay Welsh PR

23/09/2025 11:45

UWIC Inter Cardiff 0 - 4 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

20/09/2025 09:15

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

13/09/2025 04:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 5 - 0 Flint Town Welsh PR

10/09/2025 11:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 2 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic WAL CLC

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

The New Saints

Penybont FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

24 (75%)8 (25%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

16 (47%)18 (53%)

The New Saints

Recent matches

Penybont FC

Under /Over

(88%)28 4(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)23 11(32%)

Under /Over

(50%)16 16(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

Under /Over

(59%)19 13(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)15 19(56%)

/Yes

(41%)13 19(59%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)13 21(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

The New Saints

Penybont FC

Shots

The New Saints

Total shots

15.35 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Penybont FC

Total shots

9.65 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

The New Saints Pass Penybont FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

The New Saints

Played games

Penybont FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.53

Clean sheets

0.38

7.03

225

Corners

133

3.91

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.38

GK saves

0.56

The New Saints

DISCIPLINARY

Penybont FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.16

1.88

0.03

0.15

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Briton Ferry Athletic

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the The New Saints vs Penybont FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for The New Saints vs Penybont FC on 11 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

The New Saints vs Penybont FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess The New Saints's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penybont FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where The New Saints and Penybont FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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