The New Saints vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 October

The New Saints

L W W W W

1st place in League

1-2

09/10/2024 14:45

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on 09 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full The New Saints vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

The New Saints will face Caernarfon in Welsh Premier League on October 9, 2024 at 14:45.
The New Saints are currently 1st with 51 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 4th with 34 points from 22 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 2 and average coefficient 1.12.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-10-09

The New Saints vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

The New Saints

Caernarfon

2024-10-09 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 09/10/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

18/06/2024 14:30

The New Saints

7 - 0

Caernarfon

INT CF

05/04/2024 14:45

The New Saints

7 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

23/02/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

1 - 8

The New Saints

Welsh PR

26/12/2023 10:30

The New Saints

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

26/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

1 - 3

The New Saints

Welsh PR

03/01/2023 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

The New Saints

Welsh PR

The New Saints

50%

Draw

Caernarfon

50%

The New Saints Last 6 matches

03/10/2024 15:00

Fiorentina 2 - 0 The New Saints

UEFA ECL

27/09/2024 14:45

Newtown AFC 1 - 6 The New Saints

Welsh PR

24/09/2024 14:45

The New Saints 2 - 3 Bala Town F.C.

Welsh PR

20/09/2024 14:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 2 - 1 The New Saints

Welsh PR

17/09/2024 14:45

Airbus UK Broughton 0 - 1 The New Saints

WAL CLC

14/09/2024 09:30

The New Saints 4 - 0 Barry Town United

Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

05/10/2024 09:30

UWIC Inter Cardiff 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Welsh PR

28/09/2024 12:15

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

25/09/2024 14:45

Flint Town 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Welsh PR

21/09/2024 09:30

Barry Town United 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Welsh PR

17/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 2 Caernarfon

WAL CLC

14/09/2024 09:30

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic

Welsh PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Played games

The New Saints

Caernarfon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored

Avg. per game

1.69

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

30 (94%)2 (6%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

29 (83%)6 (17%)

The New Saints

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(88%)28 4(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(86%)30 5(14%)

Under /Over

(56%)18 14(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)17 18(51%)

Under /Over

(56%)18 14(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)20 15(43%)

/Yes

(59%)19 13(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)24 11(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

The New Saints

Caernarfon

Shots

The New Saints

Total shots

16.63 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

9.66 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

The New Saints Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

63%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

The New Saints

Played games

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.23

7.00

224

Corners

150

4.29

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

1.38

GK saves

119

3.40

The New Saints

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.97

1.77

0.03

0.06

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Briton Ferry Athletic

WEL

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the The New Saints vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on 09 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess The New Saints's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where The New Saints and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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