Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Termez Surkhon

L W L W D

10th place in Uzbek League

2-1

03/05/2025 08:15

Pakhtakor

W W W D W

2nd place in Uzbek League

Uzbek League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor on 03 May 2025 (kick-off: 08:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor preview before placing your bet.

Termez Surkhon are currently 10th with 35 points after 30 matches.
Pakhtakor sit 2nd with 60 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Pakhtakor to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors Pakhtakor, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Termez Surkhon have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:15

2025-05-03

Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor - Prediction & Odds

Termez Surkhon

Pakhtakor

2025-05-03 08:15

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Neftchi Fargona	64	30	19	7	4	49	24	25
02 Pakhtakor	60	30	18	6	6	59	23	36
03 Nasaf Qarshi	59	30	16	11	3	51	23	28
04 Dinamo Samarqand	58	30	16	10	4	47	30	17
05 Kuruvchi Bunyodkor	49	30	13	10	7	48	40	8
06 OTMK Olmaliq	48	30	14	6	10	44	34	10
07 Navbahor Namangan	40	30	10	10	10	41	37	4
08 Sogdiana Jizak	37	30	10	7	13	37	37	0
09 Qizilqum Zarafshon	36	30	9	9	12	28	44	-16
10 Termez Surkhon	35	30	9	8	13	26	30	-4
11 FK Andijon	35	30	9	8	13	39	51	-12
12 Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon	34	30	9	7	14	24	39	-15
13 Mashal Muborak	30	30	8	6	16	22	48	-26
14 Xorazm Urganch	27	30	7	6	17	33	39	-6
15 Buxoro FK	27	30	6	9	15	30	49	-19
16 Shurtan Guzor	17	30	3	8	19	27	57	-30

Head To Head

22/08/2024 07:00

Pakhtakor

0 - 1

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

04/03/2024 06:30

Termez Surkhon

0 - 3

Pakhtakor

UZB D1

24/11/2023 06:15

Termez Surkhon

1 - 2

Pakhtakor

UZB D1

29/05/2023 08:00

Pakhtakor

1 - 0

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

09/10/2022 05:00

Termez Surkhon

1 - 1

Pakhtakor

UZB D1

12/05/2022 07:00

Pakhtakor

2 - 2

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

Termez Surkhon

17%

Draw

33%

Pakhtakor

50%

Termez Surkhon Last 6 matches

21/04/2025 08:00

Termez Surkhon 1 - 0 Navbahor Namangan UZB D1

17/04/2025 07:50

FK Andijon 2 - 3 Termez Surkhon UzbC

13/04/2025 08:15

Nasaf Qarshi 1 - 0 Termez Surkhon UZB D1

04/04/2025 08:15

Termez Surkhon 3 - 1 Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon UZB D1

28/03/2025 08:00

Kuruvchi Bunyodkor 3 - 1 Termez Surkhon UZB D1

16/03/2025 05:45

Termez Surkhon 0 - 2 Xorazm Urganch UZB D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Pakhtakor

23/04/2025 05:00

Navoiy FA 0 - 9 Pakhtakor UzbC

19/04/2025 08:15

Neftchi Fargona 0 - 4 Pakhtakor UZB D1

13/04/2025 06:00

Pakhtakor 2 - 3 FK Andijon UZB D1

09/04/2025 07:30

Pakhtakor 2 - 1 OTMK Olmaliq UzbC

06/04/2025 06:00

Sogdiana Jizak 2 - 0 Pakhtakor UZB D1

02/04/2025 07:30

Pakhtakor 5 - 0 Mashal Muborak UZB D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uzbek League

Played games

Goals

Scored

213

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

279

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored

426

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

262

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 205 matches

YesNo

134 (65%)71 (35%)

In last 205 matches

NoYes

199 (79%)54 (21%)

Termez Surkhon

Recent matches

Pakhtakor

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Termez Surkhon

Pakhtakor

Shots

Termez Surkhon

Total shots

8.83 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pakhtakor

Total shots

11.21 avg / game

Blocked

34 total

Avg. 2.83

Termez Surkhon Pass Pakhtakor

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

9329

Avg. 424 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Termez Surkhon

205

Played games

Pakhtakor

253

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

105

0.42

3.45

707

Corners

1098

4.34

0.00

Throw-ins

206

0.81

0.00

Offsides

0.26

0.01

GK saves

0.23

Termez Surkhon

DISCIPLINARY

Pakhtakor

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

325

418

1.65

0.10

0.11

0.05

Fouls

425

1.68

0.00

Tackles

334

1.32

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor on 03 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uzbek League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Termez Surkhon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pakhtakor's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uzbek League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uzbek League standings and the Uzbek League form table to understand exactly where Termez Surkhon and Pakhtakor sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uzbek League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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