Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 March

Termez Surkhon

L L W L D

10th place in Uzbek League

0-3

05/03/2026 10:30

Neftchi Fargona

W W W D W

1st place in Uzbek League

Uzbek League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona on 05 March 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona preview before placing your bet.

Termez Surkhon will face Neftchi Fargona in Uzbek League on March 5, 2026 at 10:30.
Termez Surkhon are currently 10th with 15 points after 12 matches.
Neftchi Fargona sit 1st with 34 points from 13 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.70.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2026-03-05

Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona - Prediction & Odds

Termez Surkhon

Neftchi Fargona

2026-03-05 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 05/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Neftchi Fargona	34	13	11	1	1	32	5	27
02 Pakhtakor	30	13	9	3	1	25	14	11
03 Buxoro FK	23	13	7	2	4	17	13	4
04 Navbahor Namangan	20	12	6	2	4	16	11	5
05 OTMK Olmaliq	19	12	5	4	3	17	16	1
06 Kuruvchi Bunyodkor	19	13	6	1	6	14	15	-1
07 Lokomotiv Tashkent	18	12	5	3	4	15	15	0
08 Nasaf Qarshi	17	12	4	5	3	15	12	3
09 FK Andijon	16	12	5	1	6	17	13	4
10 Termez Surkhon	15	12	4	3	5	13	19	-6
11 Dinamo Samarqand	14	12	4	2	6	19	22	-3
12 Xorazm Urganch	13	13	3	4	6	10	17	-7
13 Qizilqum Zarafshon	13	12	4	1	7	9	17	-8
14 Sogdiana Jizak	12	13	3	3	7	22	30	-8
15 Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon	11	12	2	5	5	10	16	-6
16 Mashal Muborak	3	12	1	0	11	5	21	-16

Head To Head

02/11/2025 06:00

Neftchi Fargona

2 - 1

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

15/06/2025 11:00

Termez Surkhon

0 - 0

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

09/11/2024 09:15

Termez Surkhon

0 - 0

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

15/06/2024 11:00

Neftchi Fargona

1 - 1

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

22/10/2023 08:00

Neftchi Fargona

1 - 1

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

07/05/2023 10:00

Termez Surkhon

2 - 2

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

Neftchi Fargona

17%

Draw

83%

Termez Surkhon

Termez Surkhon Last 6 matches

28/02/2026 10:00

Lokomotiv Tashkent 3 - 1 Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

17/02/2026 10:00

Rotor Volgograd 0 - 1 Termez Surkhon

INT CF

13/02/2026 10:00

Termez Surkhon 2 - 3 Alashkert

INT CF

05/02/2026 08:00

FK Leningradets 0 - 2 Termez Surkhon

INT CF

29/01/2026 05:00

Termez Surkhon 3 - 2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

INT CF

25/01/2026 09:00

Baltika Kaliningrad 3 - 4 Termez Surkhon

INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Neftchi Fargona

28/02/2026 09:45

Neftchi Fargona 3 - 0 Mashal Muborak

UZB D1

10/02/2026 09:00

Neftchi Fargona 4 - 1 Dinamo Batumi

INT CF

07/02/2026 10:00

PFC Oleksandria 1 - 2 Neftchi Fargona

INT CF

31/01/2026 08:30

Neftchi Fargona 1 - 2 KF Ferizaj

INT CF

29/01/2026 08:00

FC Arda Kardzhali 1 - 0 Neftchi Fargona

INT CF

20/01/2026 07:10

Septemvri Sofia 0 - 2 Neftchi Fargona

INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uzbek League

Played games

Termez Surkhon

Neftchi Fargona

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.08

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.58

Scored

Avg. per game

2.46

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.38

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 12 matches

YesNo

8 (67%)4 (33%)

In last 12 matches

NoYes

11 (85%)2 (15%)

Termez Surkhon

Recent matches

Neftchi Fargona

Under /Over

(75%)9 3(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(77%)10 3(23%)

Under /Over

(17%)2 10(83%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(46%)6 7(54%)

Under /Over

(42%)5 7(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(54%)7 6(46%)

/Yes

(58%)7 5(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(31%)4 9(69%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Termez Surkhon

Neftchi Fargona

Shots

Termez Surkhon

Total shots

10.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Neftchi Fargona

Total shots

13.33 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Termez Surkhon Pass Neftchi Fargona

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Termez Surkhon

Played games

Neftchi Fargona

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.17

Clean sheets

0.62

4.42

Corners

6.77

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Termez Surkhon

DISCIPLINARY

Neftchi Fargona

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

1.62

0.00

0.08

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona on 05 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uzbek League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Termez Surkhon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Neftchi Fargona's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uzbek League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uzbek League standings and the Uzbek League form table to understand exactly where Termez Surkhon and Neftchi Fargona sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uzbek League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Uzbek League Predictions

Find every upcoming Uzbek League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less