Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 May

Termez Surkhon

D L W W L

6th place in Uzbek League

2 - 2

07/05/2023 14:00

Neftchi Fargona

D L L W W

5th place in Uzbek League

Uzbek League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona on 07 May 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona preview before placing your bet.

Termez Surkhon are currently 6th with 40 points after 26 matches.
Neftchi Fargona sit 5th with 45 points from 26 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Neftchi Fargona, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Termez Surkhon have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 07/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pakhtakor	53	26	16	5	5	41	25	16
02 Nasaf Qarshi	48	26	13	9	4	31	16	15
03 Navbahor Namangan	47	26	14	5	7	44	19	25
04 OTMK Olmaliq	46	26	13	7	6	43	34	9
05 Neftchi Fargona	45	26	11	12	3	33	18	15
06 Termez Surkhon	40	26	11	7	8	28	24	4
07 FK Andijon	40	26	12	4	10	27	25	2
08 Kuruvchi Bunyodkor	37	26	10	7	9	30	33	-3
09 Olympic FK Tashkent	31	26	8	7	11	26	32	-6
10 Metallurg Bekobod	30	26	8	6	12	26	35	-9
11 Sogdiana Jizak	27	26	7	6	13	29	38	-9
12 Qizilqum Zarafshon	25	26	6	7	13	22	33	-11
13 Turon Nukus	16	26	3	7	16	16	41	-25
14 Buxoro FK	15	26	4	3	19	12	35	-23

Head To Head

12/11/2022 12:00

Neftchi Fargona

3 - 0

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

29/06/2022 14:00

Termez Surkhon

1 - 1

Neftchi Fargona

UZB D1

Termez Surkhon

Draw

50%

Neftchi Fargona

50%

Termez Surkhon Last 6 matches

21/04/2023 12:00

Termez Surkhon 1 - 0 Kuruvchi Bunyodkor UZB D1

14/04/2023 13:20

Qizilqum Zarafshon 0 - 0 Termez Surkhon UZB D1

09/04/2023 13:15

Nasaf Qarshi 3 - 2 Termez Surkhon UZB D1

05/04/2023 13:00

Termez Surkhon 0 - 0 Mashal Muborak UzbC

31/03/2023 13:00

Termez Surkhon 2 - 0 Buxoro FK UZB D1

19/03/2023 12:00

Turon Nukus 1 - 1 Termez Surkhon UZB D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Neftchi Fargona

21/04/2023 13:30

Buxoro FK 2 - 2 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

17/04/2023 12:00

Neftchi Fargona 1 - 1 Turon Nukus UZB D1

12/04/2023 13:00

Neftchi Fargona 0 - 0 Kuruvchi Bunyodkor UzbC

08/04/2023 12:55

FK Andijon 0 - 2 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

31/03/2023 13:00

Neftchi Fargona 2 - 2 OTMK Olmaliq UZB D1

18/03/2023 10:00

Sogdiana Jizak 0 - 2 Neftchi Fargona UZB D1

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uzbek League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Termez Surkhon

Neftchi Fargona

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 26 matches

YesNo

18 (69%)8 (31%)

In last 26 matches

NoYes

14 (54%)12 (46%)

Termez Surkhon

Recent matches

Neftchi Fargona

Under /Over

(54%)14 12(46%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(65%)17 9(35%)

Under /Over

(19%)5 21(81%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)8 18(69%)

Under /Over

(46%)12 14(54%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)7 19(73%)

/Yes

(46%)12 14(54%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)11 15(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Termez Surkhon

Neftchi Fargona

Shots

Termez Surkhon

Total shots

6.04 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Neftchi Fargona

Total shots

8.88 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Termez Surkhon Pass Neftchi Fargona

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Termez Surkhon

Played games

Neftchi Fargona

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

Clean sheets

0.50

3.54

Corners

118

4.54

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Termez Surkhon

DISCIPLINARY

Neftchi Fargona

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

2.12

0.19

0.15

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona on 07 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uzbek League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Termez Surkhon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Neftchi Fargona's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uzbek League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uzbek League standings and the Uzbek League form table to understand exactly where Termez Surkhon and Neftchi Fargona sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uzbek League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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