Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 April

Tepatitlan de Morelos

L L W L W

8th place in Autumn

2-1

25/04/2025 02:00

Leones Negros

W W L L W

1st place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros on 25 April 2025 (kick-off: 02:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Tepatitlan de Morelos are currently 8th with 19 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 1st with 29 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tepatitlan de Morelos to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Leones Negros, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Tepatitlan de Morelos have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

02:00

2025-04-25

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

2025-04-25 02:00

STANDINGS UP TO 25/04/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

01/03/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

15/09/2024 23:00

Leones Negros

1 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

11/04/2024 03:05

Leones Negros

3 - 2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

13/08/2023 03:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

0 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

15/07/2023 17:00

Leones Negros

3 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

INT CF

28/04/2023 03:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

0 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Draw

33%

Leones Negros

67%

Tepatitlan de Morelos Last 6 matches

20/04/2025 01:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 2 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

12/04/2025 01:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 4 - 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

30/03/2025 03:00

Tampico Madero 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

22/03/2025 03:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 4 - 1 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

16/03/2025 03:05

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

07/03/2025 01:00

Correcaminos UAT 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

19/04/2025 01:00

Leones Negros 3 - 1 Venados FC MEX D2

13/04/2025 01:05

Celaya FC 2 - 3 Leones Negros MEX D2

06/04/2025 18:00

Leones Negros 1 - 2 Tampico Madero MEX D2

29/03/2025 03:00

Atletico La Paz 3 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

21/03/2025 03:00

Leones Negros 2 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

16/03/2025 18:00

Leones Negros 3 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

18 (56%)14 (44%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

29 (73%)11 (28%)

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(84%)27 5(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)32 8(20%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(48%)19 21(52%)

/Yes

(69%)22 10(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)26 14(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

Shots

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

7.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tepatitlan de Morelos Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

OTHERS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.28

5.16

165

Corners

209

5.23

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.50

2.25

0.22

0.18

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/08

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/21

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

09/04

Tepatitlan de Morelos

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros on 25 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Tepatitlan de Morelos and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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