Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 September

Tepatitlan de Morelos

D W L L D

8th place in Apertura

1-1

07/09/2025 19:00

Leones Negros

W L L W W

6th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros on 07 September 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Tepatitlan de Morelos are currently 8th with 18 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 6th with 21 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tepatitlan de Morelos to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Leones Negros, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Tepatitlan de Morelos have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-09-07

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

2025-09-07 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/09/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

27/04/2025 14:00

Leones Negros

2 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

24/04/2025 22:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

28/02/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

15/09/2024 19:00

Leones Negros

1 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

10/04/2024 23:05

Leones Negros

3 - 2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

12/08/2023 23:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

0 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

17%

Draw

33%

Leones Negros

50%

Tepatitlan de Morelos Last 6 matches

29/08/2025 21:00

Correcaminos UAT 1 - 4 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

22/08/2025 23:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 3 - 0 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa MEX D2

17/08/2025 19:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 1 - 3 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

09/08/2025 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 0 - 0 Tampico Madero MEX D2

02/08/2025 20:00

CF Atlante 1 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

12/07/2025 21:20

Racing de Veracruz 0 - 2 Tepatitlan de Morelos INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

31/08/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 2 - 2 Tlaxcala MEX D2

22/08/2025 22:00

Leones Negros 1 - 1 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

15/08/2025 21:00

Correcaminos UAT 1 - 2 Leones Negros MEX D2

10/08/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 4 - 2 Irapuato MEX D2

02/08/2025 21:00

Tampico Madero 1 - 0 Leones Negros MEX D2

07/06/2025 21:00

Leones Negros 1 - 2 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

22 (55%)18 (45%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

14 (47%)16 (53%)

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(68%)27 13(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)22 8(27%)

Under /Over

(25%)10 30(75%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)9 21(70%)

Under /Over

(30%)12 28(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

/Yes

(48%)19 21(52%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Leones Negros

Shots

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

10.60 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tepatitlan de Morelos Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

OTHERS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.23

5.13

205

Corners

129

4.30

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.18

GK saves

0.20

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.75

110

2.33

0.20

0.20

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

07/31

Correcaminos UAT

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/07

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/20

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros on 07 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Tepatitlan de Morelos and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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