Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Tecnico Universitario

L L L L W

13th place in League

1-2

11/05/2025 14:00

Independiente del Valle

W W W W D

1st place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing your bet.

Tecnico Universitario are currently 13th with 28 points after 30 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 64 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Tecnico Universitario have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2025-05-11

Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

Tecnico Universitario

Independiente del Valle

2025-05-11 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

25/08/2024 14:00

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0

Tecnico Universitario

ECU D1

21/03/2024 17:30

Tecnico Universitario

1 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

23/09/2023 19:00

Tecnico Universitario

2 - 2

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

22/04/2023 16:30

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0

Tecnico Universitario

ECU D1

10/10/2022 20:00

Independiente del Valle

0 - 1

Tecnico Universitario

ECU D1

15/05/2022 14:00

Tecnico Universitario

2 - 3

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

Tecnico Universitario

17%

Draw

33%

Independiente del Valle

50%

Tecnico Universitario Last 6 matches

03/05/2025 17:30

Tecnico Universitario 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica ECU D1

27/04/2025 19:00

Club Sport Emelec 0 - 1 Tecnico Universitario ECU D1

20/04/2025 14:00

Tecnico Universitario 1 - 3 Vinotinto de Ecuador ECU D1

10/04/2025 20:00

Manta FC 2 - 1 Tecnico Universitario ECU D1

06/04/2025 14:00

Tecnico Universitario 1 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

30/03/2025 14:00

Macara 0 - 1 Tecnico Universitario ECU D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

27/04/2025 16:30

Orense SC 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

23/04/2025 20:30

Independiente del Valle 2 - 2 River Plate CON CLA

19/04/2025 20:00

Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 Manta FC ECU D1

14/04/2025 17:30

CD El Nacional 1 - 3 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

08/04/2025 22:00

Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Universitario De Deportes CON CLA

05/04/2025 20:00

Independiente del Valle 4 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca ECU D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tecnico Universitario

Independiente del Valle

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 36 matches

YesNo

17 (47%)19 (53%)

In last 36 matches

NoYes

24 (60%)16 (40%)

Tecnico Universitario

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(67%)24 12(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)32 8(20%)

Under /Over

(36%)13 23(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)14 26(65%)

Under /Over

(31%)11 25(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

/Yes

(53%)19 17(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)23 17(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tecnico Universitario

Independiente del Valle

Shots

Tecnico Universitario

Total shots

12.31 avg / game

Blocked

38 total

Avg. 2.92

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

45 total

Avg. 3.75

Tecnico Universitario Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

10372

Avg. 296 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

14863

Avg. 391 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Tecnico Universitario

2809

Avg. 78.03 / game

Independiente del Valle

3049

Avg. 76.23 / game

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tecnico Universitario

1221

Avg. 33.92 / game

Independiente del Valle

1316

Avg. 32.90 / game

OTHERS

Tecnico Universitario

Played games

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.38

4.17

150

Corners

212

5.30

9.64

347

Throw-ins

268

6.70

1.50

Offsides

1.28

2.56

GK saves

1.90

Tecnico Universitario

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

1.95

0.28

0.10

12.75

459

Fouls

347

8.68

11.50

414

Tackles

366

9.15

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Tecnico Universitario

Tecnico Universitario

ECU

08/23

Tecnico Universitario

Guayaquil City

ECU

08/30

Tecnico Universitario

Tecnico Universitario

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

ECU

How We Build the Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tecnico Universitario vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tecnico Universitario's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Tecnico Universitario and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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