SWQ Thunder vs Moreton City Excelsior Reserve Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – July 11

SWQ Thunder

L W D L W

2nd place in Australia Queensland Premier League 2

3 - 3

11/07/2026 05:00

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

W L D W L

3rd place in Australia Queensland Premier League 2

Australia Queensland Premier League 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for SWQ Thunder vs Moreton City Excelsior Reserve on July 11, 2026 (kick-off: 05:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full SWQ Thunder vs Moreton City Excelsior Reserve preview before placing for you.

SWQ Thunder are currently 2nd with 39 points after 20 matches.
Moreton City Excelsior Reserve sit 3rd with 35 points from 20 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 11/07/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Grange Thistle SC	40	20	12	4	4	46	24	22
02 SWQ Thunder	39	20	12	3	5	45	23	22
03 Moreton City Excelsior II	35	20	10	5	5	53	29	24
04 Pine Hills	32	20	9	5	6	37	30	7
05 Souths United	31	20	10	1	9	33	37	-4
06 Caloundra	29	20	9	2	9	46	48	-2
07 Virginia United	26	20	8	2	10	26	30	-4
08 Southside Eagles	25	20	7	4	9	40	40	0
09 Taringa Rovers	25	20	7	4	9	30	41	-11
10 Brisbane Knights	25	20	8	1	11	34	47	-13
11 Mitchelton FC	24	20	7	3	10	40	41	-1
12 Samford Ranges	11	20	3	2	15	21	61	-40

SWQ Thunder Last 6 matches

01/08/2026 16:00

SWQ Thunder 5 - 1 Samford Ranges Queensland Premier League 2

25/07/2026 15:00

SWQ Thunder 2 - 0 Caloundra Queensland Premier League 2

18/07/2026 15:00

Pine Hills 3 - 1 SWQ Thunder Queensland Premier League 2

11/07/2026 16:00

SWQ Thunder 3 - 3 Moreton City Excelsior Reserve Queensland Premier League 2

04/07/2026 15:15

Brisbane Knights 0 - 3 SWQ Thunder Queensland Premier League 2

25/06/2026 16:30

Grange Thistle SC 2 - 1 SWQ Thunder Queensland Premier League 2

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

01/08/2026 15:00

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve 2 - 1 Virginia United Queensland Premier League 2

25/07/2026 14:00

Grange Thistle SC 4 - 0 Moreton City Excelsior Reserve Queensland Premier League 2

19/07/2026 14:00

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve 5 - 0 Taringa Rovers Queensland Premier League 2

11/07/2026 16:00

SWQ Thunder 3 - 3 Moreton City Excelsior Reserve Queensland Premier League 2

04/07/2026 15:10

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve 0 - 2 Southside Eagles Queensland Premier League 2

20/06/2026 15:00

Souths United 0 - 1 Moreton City Excelsior Reserve Queensland Premier League 2

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia Queensland P...

Played games

SWQ Thunder

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.25

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.15

Scored

Avg. per game

2.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.45

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 20 matches

YesNo

18 (90%)2 (10%)

In last 20 matches

NoYes

18 (90%)2 (10%)

SWQ Thunder

Recent matches

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Under /Over

(95%)19 1(5%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(90%)18 2(10%)

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(60%)12 8(40%)

Under /Over

(60%)12 8(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(70%)14 6(30%)

/Yes

(55%)11 9(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)13 7(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

SWQ Thunder

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Shots

SWQ Thunder

Total shots

23.67 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Total shots

15.27 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

SWQ Thunder Pass Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

SWQ Thunder

1306

Avg. 65.30 / game

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

938

Avg. 46.90 / game

OTHERS

SWQ Thunder

Played games

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.25

4.25

Corners

4.20

0.00

Throw-ins

0.05

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

SWQ Thunder

DISCIPLINARY

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.95

0.70

0.05

0.05

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

Moreton City Excelsior Reserve

QLD

How We Build the SWQ Thunder vs Moreton City Excelsior Reserve Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for SWQ Thunder vs Moreton City Excelsior Reserve on 11 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia Queensland Premier League 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

SWQ Thunder vs Moreton City Excelsior Reserve Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess SWQ Thunder's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Moreton City Excelsior Reserve's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia Queensland Premier League 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia Queensland Premier League 2 standings and the Australia Queensland Premier League 2 form table to understand exactly where SWQ Thunder and Moreton City Excelsior Reserve sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia Queensland Premier League 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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