Sweden (W) vs Italy (W): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 April

Sweden (W)

D W W W W

1st place in Group D

3-2

04/04/2025 13:00

Italy (W)

L W W D W

2nd place in Group D

UEFA Women's Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sweden (W) vs Italy (W) on 04 April 2025 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sweden (W) vs Italy (W) preview before placing your bet.

Sweden (W) are currently 1st with 12 points after 6 matches.
Italy (W) sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sweden (W) to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Sweden (W) and Italy (W) have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2025-04-04

Sweden (W) vs Italy (W) - Prediction & Odds

Sweden (W)

Italy (W)

2025-04-04 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/04/2025

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sweden (W)	12	6	3	3	0	13	6	7
02 Italy (W)	10	6	3	1	2	11	7	4
03 Denmark (W)	9	6	3	0	3	8	13	-5
04 Wales (W)	2	6	0	2	4	4	10	-6

Head To Head

31/10/2023 13:30

Sweden (W)

1 - 1

Italy (W)

UEFA WNL

26/09/2023 11:45

Italy (W)

0 - 1

Sweden (W)

UEFA WNL

29/07/2023 03:30

Sweden (W)

5 - 0

Italy (W)

WWC

23/02/2022 07:05

Sweden (W)

1 - 1

Italy (W)

ALGC

09/10/2018 12:15

Italy (W)

1 - 0

Sweden (W)

INT FRL

25/07/2017 14:45

Sweden (W)

2 - 3

Italy (W)

UEFACW

Sweden (W)

33%

Draw

33%

Italy (W)

33%

Sweden (W) Last 6 matches

25/02/2025 15:15

Wales (W) 1 - 1 Sweden (W) UEFA WNL

21/02/2025 14:15

Denmark (W) 1 - 2 Sweden (W) UEFA WNL

03/12/2024 14:00

Sweden (W) 6 - 0 Serbia (W) UEFACW Q

28/11/2024 13:00

Serbia (W) 0 - 2 Sweden (W) UEFACW Q

29/10/2024 14:00

Sweden (W) 8 - 0 Luxembourg (W) UEFACW Q

25/10/2024 13:30

Luxembourg (W) 0 - 4 Sweden (W) UEFACW Q

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Italy (W)

25/02/2025 13:15

Italy (W) 1 - 3 Denmark (W) UEFA WNL

21/02/2025 13:15

Italy (W) 1 - 0 Wales (W) UEFA WNL

02/12/2024 15:30

Germany (W) 1 - 2 Italy (W) INT FRL

29/10/2024 13:15

Italy (W) 1 - 1 Spain (W) INT FRL

25/10/2024 12:15

Italy (W) 5 - 0 malta (W) INT FRL

16/07/2024 13:00

Italy (W) 4 - 0 Finland (W) UEFACW Q

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Women's Nations L...

Played games

Sweden (W)

Italy (W)

Goals

Scored

203

Avg. per game

2.36

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

130

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.01

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 86 matches

YesNo

73 (85%)13 (15%)

In last 86 matches

NoYes

55 (75%)18 (25%)

Sweden (W)

Recent matches

Italy (W)

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sweden (W)

Italy (W)

Shots

Sweden (W)

Total shots

14.70 avg / game

Blocked

107 total

Avg. 3.96

Italy (W)

Total shots

13.29 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.76

Sweden (W) Pass Italy (W)

Total passes

13051

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

9873

Avg. 395 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sweden (W)

Played games

Italy (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.50

Clean sheets

0.42

6.67

574

Corners

391

5.36

6.73

579

Throw-ins

422

5.78

1.16

100

Offsides

1.10

1.91

164

GK saves

123

1.68

Sweden (W)

DISCIPLINARY

Italy (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.70

1.18

0.01

0.03

7.52

647

Fouls

351

4.81

5.84

502

Tackles

374

5.12

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Sweden (W) vs Italy (W) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sweden (W) vs Italy (W) on 04 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Women's Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sweden (W) vs Italy (W) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sweden (W)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy (W)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Women's Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Women's Nations League standings and the UEFA Women's Nations League form table to understand exactly where Sweden (W) and Italy (W) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Women's Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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