Swansea City vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 April

Swansea City

W W W W L

11th place in England Championship

1-0

05/04/2025 10:00

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Swansea City vs Derby County on 05 April 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Swansea City vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Swansea City are currently 11th with 61 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 19th with 50 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Swansea City to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Swansea City, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-04-05

Swansea City vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Swansea City

Derby County

2025-04-05 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/04/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

27/11/2024 16:00

Derby County

1 - 2

Swansea City

ENG LCH

09/04/2022 10:00

Swansea City

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

02/10/2021 10:00

Derby County

0 - 0

Swansea City

ENG LCH

01/05/2021 10:00

Swansea City

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

16/12/2020 13:30

Derby County

2 - 0

Swansea City

ENG LCH

08/02/2020 11:00

Swansea City

2 - 3

Derby County

ENG LCH

Swansea City

50%

Draw

17%

Derby County

33%

Swansea City Last 6 matches

15/03/2025 11:00

Swansea City 0 - 2 Burnley ENG LCH

12/03/2025 15:45

Watford 1 - 0 Swansea City ENG LCH

08/03/2025 11:00

Swansea City 1 - 0 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

04/03/2025 15:45

Preston North End 0 - 0 Swansea City ENG LCH

22/02/2025 11:00

Swansea City 3 - 0 Blackburn Rovers ENG LCH

15/02/2025 11:00

Stoke City 3 - 1 Swansea City ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Derby County

15/03/2025 11:00

Plymouth Argyle 2 - 3 Derby County ENG LCH

11/03/2025 15:45

Derby County 2 - 0 Coventry City ENG LCH

08/03/2025 11:00

Derby County 2 - 1 Blackburn Rovers ENG LCH

01/03/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

22/02/2025 08:30

Derby County 0 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

14/02/2025 16:00

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 4 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Swansea City

Derby County

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.46

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

18 (39%)28 (61%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

22 (48%)24 (52%)

Swansea City

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Swansea City

Derby County

Shots

Swansea City

Total shots

10.98 avg / game

Blocked

112 total

Avg. 3.20

Derby County

Total shots

10.17 avg / game

Blocked

105 total

Avg. 2.92

Swansea City Pass Derby County

Total passes

21688

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

14703

Avg. 320 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

43%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Swansea City

Played games

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.26

4.76

219

Corners

227

4.93

21.96

1010

Throw-ins

1062

23.09

2.02

Offsides

1.76

2.52

116

GK saves

113

2.46

Swansea City

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.52

1.96

0.02

0.00

10.33

475

Fouls

552

12.00

15.89

731

Tackles

833

18.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Swansea City vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Swansea City vs Derby County on 05 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Swansea City vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Swansea City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Swansea City and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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