Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Sturm Graz

L L W W L

1st place in Championship Playoffs

4-2

09/05/2025 13:30

Red Bull Salzburg

D L W L W

2nd place in Championship Playoffs

Austrian Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg on 09 May 2025 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg preview before placing your bet.

Sturm Graz are currently 1st with 40 points after 10 matches.
Red Bull Salzburg sit 2nd with 38 points from 10 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Red Bull Salzburg to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Sturm Graz, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Red Bull Salzburg have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:30

2025-05-09

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg - Prediction & Odds

Sturm Graz

Red Bull Salzburg

2025-05-09 13:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2025

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sturm Graz	40	10	5	2	3	15	11	4
02 Red Bull Salzburg	38	10	6	1	3	20	14	6
03 Wolfsberger AC	37	10	5	4	1	16	8	8
04 Austria Wien	37	10	4	2	4	11	13	-2
05 Rapid Wien	27	10	3	1	6	11	18	-7
06 FC Blau Weiss Linz	21	10	1	2	7	7	16	-9

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 LASK Linz	38	10	7	2	1	19	3	16
02 TSV Hartberg	31	10	5	3	2	16	9	7
03 WSG Swarovski Tirol	20	10	3	2	5	15	19	-4
04 Grazer AK	20	10	2	6	2	7	9	-2
05 Rheindorf Altach	18	10	2	4	4	9	11	-2
06 SK Austria Klagenfurt	16	10	1	3	6	11	26	-15

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sturm Graz	46	22	14	4	4	51	28	23
02 Austria Wien	46	22	14	4	4	36	19	17
03 Red Bull Salzburg	38	22	10	8	4	33	22	11
04 Wolfsberger AC	36	22	11	3	8	44	30	14
05 Rapid Wien	34	22	9	7	6	32	24	8
06 FC Blau Weiss Linz	33	22	10	3	9	30	29	1
07 LASK Linz	31	22	9	4	9	32	33	-1
08 TSV Hartberg	26	22	6	8	8	24	31	-7
09 SK Austria Klagenfurt	21	22	5	6	11	22	44	-22
10 WSG Swarovski Tirol	19	22	4	7	11	20	31	-11
11 Rheindorf Altach	16	22	3	7	12	20	35	-15
12 Grazer AK	16	22	3	7	12	27	45	-18

Head To Head

13/04/2025 08:30

Red Bull Salzburg

1 - 2

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

02/03/2025 12:00

Red Bull Salzburg

3 - 1

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

06/10/2024 11:00

Sturm Graz

5 - 0

Red Bull Salzburg

AUT D1

28/04/2024 11:00

Red Bull Salzburg

2 - 2

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

04/04/2024 14:45

Red Bull Salzburg

3 - 4

Sturm Graz

AUT CUP

31/03/2024 11:00

Sturm Graz

0 - 1

Red Bull Salzburg

AUT D1

Sturm Graz

50%

Draw

17%

Red Bull Salzburg

33%

Sturm Graz Last 6 matches

04/05/2025 08:30

FC Blau Weiss Linz 0 - 1 Sturm Graz AUT D1

27/04/2025 11:00

Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Austria Wien AUT D1

23/04/2025 14:30

Austria Wien 2 - 1 Sturm Graz AUT D1

20/04/2025 08:30

Sturm Graz 2 - 0 FC Blau Weiss Linz AUT D1

13/04/2025 08:30

Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 2 Sturm Graz AUT D1

04/04/2025 13:30

Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Rapid Wien AUT D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Red Bull Salzburg

04/05/2025 11:00

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - 0 Austria Wien AUT D1

27/04/2025 08:30

Wolfsberger AC 2 - 1 Red Bull Salzburg AUT D1

23/04/2025 12:30

Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 1 Wolfsberger AC AUT D1

20/04/2025 11:00

Austria Wien 1 - 3 Red Bull Salzburg AUT D1

13/04/2025 08:30

Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 2 Sturm Graz AUT D1

06/04/2025 08:30

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - 1 FC Blau Weiss Linz AUT D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Austrian Bundesliga

Played games

Sturm Graz

Red Bull Salzburg

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.22

Scored

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.13

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

28 (88%)4 (13%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

26 (81%)6 (19%)

Sturm Graz

Recent matches

Red Bull Salzburg

Under /Over

(91%)29 3(9%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)25 7(22%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(28%)9 23(72%)

Under /Over

(59%)19 13(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)15 17(53%)

/Yes

(63%)20 12(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)18 14(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sturm Graz

Red Bull Salzburg

Shots

Sturm Graz

Total shots

13.69 avg / game

Blocked

20 total

Avg. 3.33

Red Bull Salzburg

Total shots

16.81 avg / game

Blocked

33 total

Avg. 6.60

Sturm Graz Pass Red Bull Salzburg

Total passes

12885

Avg. 403 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

17039

Avg. 532 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

62%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sturm Graz

Played games

Red Bull Salzburg

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.38

5.00

160

Corners

191

5.97

25.16

805

Throw-ins

745

23.28

0.91

Offsides

1.00

2.47

GK saves

2.56

Sturm Graz

DISCIPLINARY

Red Bull Salzburg

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

1.63

0.25

0.06

11.63

372

Fouls

308

9.63

14.25

456

Tackles

479

14.97

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg on 09 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Austrian Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sturm Graz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Red Bull Salzburg's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Austrian Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Austrian Bundesliga standings and the Austrian Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Austrian Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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