Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 17

Sturm Graz

D D D D W

2nd place in Championship Playoffs

2-0

17/05/2026 12:30

Rapid Wien

D L W L L

5th place in Championship Playoffs

Austrian Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien on May 17, 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien preview before placing for you.

Sturm Graz are currently 2nd with 37 points after 10 matches.
Rapid Wien sit 5th with 27 points from 10 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Rapid Wien, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Sturm Graz have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2026-05-17

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien - Prediction & Odds

Sturm Graz

Rapid Wien

2026-05-17 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 LASK Linz	39	10	6	3	1	24	12	12
02 Sturm Graz	37	10	4	6	0	18	9	9
03 Red Bull Salzburg	29	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
04 Austria Wien	29	10	3	2	5	11	20	-9
05 Rapid Wien	27	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 TSV Hartberg	25	10	2	3	5	11	16	-5

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 SV Ried	28	10	4	2	4	12	12	0
02 Wolfsberger AC	28	10	4	3	3	10	10	0
03 Rheindorf Altach	27	10	3	4	3	14	16	-2
04 Grazer AK	27	10	5	2	3	20	9	11
05 WSG Swarovski Tirol	24	10	2	3	5	9	22	-13
06 FC Blau Weiss Linz	21	10	4	2	4	17	13	4

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sturm Graz	38	22	12	2	8	33	26	7
02 Red Bull Salzburg	37	22	10	7	5	42	26	16
03 LASK Linz	37	22	11	4	7	32	30	2
04 Austria Wien	36	22	11	3	8	34	30	4
05 TSV Hartberg	33	22	8	9	5	29	24	5
06 Rapid Wien	33	22	9	6	7	26	25	1
07 WSG Swarovski Tirol	31	22	8	7	7	31	30	1
08 Rheindorf Altach	29	22	7	8	7	22	23	-1
09 SV Ried	28	22	8	4	10	26	30	-4
10 Wolfsberger AC	26	22	7	5	10	31	32	-1
11 Grazer AK	20	22	4	8	10	22	36	-14
12 FC Blau Weiss Linz	15	22	4	3	15	20	36	-16

Head To Head

05/04/2026 15:00

Rapid Wien

0 - 2

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

02/11/2025 16:00

Rapid Wien

2 - 1

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

10/08/2025 15:00

Sturm Graz

1 - 2

Rapid Wien

AUT D1

18/05/2025 15:00

Rapid Wien

3 - 1

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

04/04/2025 17:30

Sturm Graz

2 - 0

Rapid Wien

AUT D1

02/11/2024 16:00

Sturm Graz

1 - 1

Rapid Wien

AUT D1

Sturm Graz

33%

Draw

17%

Rapid Wien

50%

Sturm Graz Last 6 matches

10/05/2026 15:00

TSV Hartberg 2 - 4 Sturm Graz AUT D1

03/05/2026 15:00

Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 1 Sturm Graz AUT D1

26/04/2026 15:00

Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Austria Wien AUT D1

22/04/2026 18:30

Sturm Graz 1 - 1 LASK Linz AUT D1

19/04/2026 15:00

LASK Linz 1 - 1 Sturm Graz AUT D1

12/04/2026 12:30

Sturm Graz 0 - 0 TSV Hartberg AUT D1

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Last 6 matches Rapid Wien

10/05/2026 15:00

Rapid Wien 0 - 2 Austria Wien AUT D1

04/05/2026 18:30

LASK Linz 3 - 1 Rapid Wien AUT D1

26/04/2026 12:30

Rapid Wien 1 - 0 Red Bull Salzburg AUT D1

22/04/2026 16:30

Rapid Wien 0 - 2 TSV Hartberg AUT D1

19/04/2026 12:30

TSV Hartberg 2 - 2 Rapid Wien AUT D1

12/04/2026 15:00

Austria Wien 1 - 1 Rapid Wien AUT D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Austrian Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Sturm Graz

Rapid Wien

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

20 (63%)12 (38%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

17 (50%)17 (50%)

Sturm Graz

Recent matches

Rapid Wien

Under /Over

(78%)25 7(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

Under /Over

(28%)9 23(72%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)9 25(74%)

Under /Over

(47%)15 17(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

/Yes

(56%)18 14(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)18 16(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sturm Graz

Rapid Wien

Shots

Sturm Graz

Total shots

15.47 avg / game

Blocked

139 total

Avg. 4.63

Rapid Wien

Total shots

11.88 avg / game

Blocked

84 total

Avg. 3.00

Sturm Graz Pass Rapid Wien

Total passes

12407

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

15027

Avg. 442 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sturm Graz

Played games

Rapid Wien

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.26

5.56

178

Corners

189

5.56

25.81

826

Throw-ins

694

20.41

1.47

Offsides

2.15

2.53

GK saves

2.47

Sturm Graz

DISCIPLINARY

Rapid Wien

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.06

2.24

0.09

0.09

11.63

372

Fouls

348

10.24

11.19

358

Tackles

331

9.74

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Austrian Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sturm Graz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rapid Wien's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Austrian Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Austrian Bundesliga standings and the Austrian Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Sturm Graz and Rapid Wien sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Austrian Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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