Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Prediction Match Centre
Stenhousemuir
No standing data
2
4-0
Greenock Morton
Win Probability 40%
17/01/2026 11:00
Greenock Morton
No standing data
Scotland FA Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton preview before placing your bet.

  • Stenhousemuir will face Greenock Morton in Scotland FA Cup on January 17, 2026 at 11:00.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.21.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:00

2026-01-17

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton - Prediction & Odds

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
2026-01-17 11:00
33
27
40
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
2.21
FT
4-0 2-0
-
weather
1℃～2℃
STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Stenhousemuir and Greenock Morton in the Scotland FA Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
15/07/2025 14:45
Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
3 - 0
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
SCO LC
28/06/2022 14:30
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
0 - 1
Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
INT CF
21/07/2018 10:00
Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
2 - 0
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
SCO LC
01/07/2017 09:00
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
0 - 3
Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
INT CF
11/04/2015 10:00
Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
3 - 2
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
SCO L1
10/01/2015 11:00
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
2 - 3
Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
SCO L1
Greenock Morton
3
50%
Draw
0
0%
Stenhousemuir
3
50%
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir Last 6 matches
13/01/2026 15:45
Stirling Albion 1 - 2 Stenhousemuir
SCO BC
10/01/2026 11:00
Stenhousemuir 5 - 0 East Fife
SCO L1
03/01/2026 11:00
Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Queen of South
SCO L1
27/12/2025 11:00
Alloa Athletic 0 - 0 Stenhousemuir
SCO L1
20/12/2025 11:00
Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Inverness
SCO L1
13/12/2025 11:00
Montrose 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir
SCO L1
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
03/01/2026 11:00
Partick Thistle 3 - 2 Greenock Morton
SCO CH
27/12/2025 11:00
Greenock Morton 1 - 1 Ayr United
SCO CH
20/12/2025 11:00
Saint Johnstone 5 - 0 Greenock Morton
SCO CH
13/12/2025 11:00
Greenock Morton 0 - 1 Airdrie United
SCO CH
09/12/2025 15:45
Stirling Albion 2 - 2 Greenock Morton
SCO BC
05/12/2025 15:45
Greenock Morton 2 - 1 Queen's Park
SCO CH
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Scotland FA Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
55
 Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
44
Goals
Scored
42
Avg. per game
0.76
Conceded
23
Avg. per game
0.42
Scored
22
Avg. per game
0.50
Conceded
41
Avg. per game
0.93
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 55 matches
YesNo
30 (55%)25 (45%)
In last 55 matches
NoYes
18 (41%)26 (59%)
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

Recent matches

Greenock Morton

Greenock Morton

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)35 9(20%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)15 29(66%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)20 24(55%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)24 20(45%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
Shots
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Total shots
9.98 avg / game
Blocked
33 total
Avg. 1.43
Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
Total shots
8.80 avg / game
Blocked
57 total
Avg. 2.48
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir Pass Greenock Morton Greenock Morton
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
3899
Avg. 70.89 / game
 Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
3566
Avg. 81.05 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
2537
Avg. 46.13 / game
 Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
2012
Avg. 45.73 / game
OTHERS
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
55
Played games
Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
44
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.47
26
Clean sheets
10
0.23
4.47
246
Corners
200
4.55
0.40
22
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.42
23
Offsides
51
1.16
2.38
131
GK saves
110
2.50
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
DISCIPLINARY
Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.35
129
Yellow card
97
2.20
0.02
1
Red card
4
0.09
11.87
653
Fouls
453
10.30
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
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How We Build the Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Scotland FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Stenhousemuir's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Greenock Morton's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Scotland FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Scotland FA Cup standings and the Scotland FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Stenhousemuir and Greenock Morton sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Scotland FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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