Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

Prediction Match Centre

Stenhousemuir

No standing data

4-0

Greenock Morton
Win Probability 40%

17/01/2026 11:00

Greenock Morton

No standing data

Scotland FA Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton preview before placing your bet.

Stenhousemuir will face Greenock Morton in Scotland FA Cup on January 17, 2026 at 11:00.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.21.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-01-17

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton - Prediction & Odds

Stenhousemuir

Greenock Morton

2026-01-17 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Stenhousemuir and Greenock Morton in the Scotland FA Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

15/07/2025 14:45

Greenock Morton

3 - 0

Stenhousemuir

SCO LC

28/06/2022 14:30

Stenhousemuir

0 - 1

Greenock Morton

INT CF

21/07/2018 10:00

Greenock Morton

2 - 0

Stenhousemuir

SCO LC

01/07/2017 09:00

Stenhousemuir

0 - 3

Greenock Morton

INT CF

11/04/2015 10:00

Greenock Morton

3 - 2

Stenhousemuir

SCO L1

10/01/2015 11:00

Stenhousemuir

2 - 3

Greenock Morton

SCO L1

Greenock Morton

50%

Draw

Stenhousemuir

50%

Stenhousemuir Last 6 matches

13/01/2026 15:45

Stirling Albion 1 - 2 Stenhousemuir

SCO BC

10/01/2026 11:00

Stenhousemuir 5 - 0 East Fife

SCO L1

03/01/2026 11:00

Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Queen of South

SCO L1

27/12/2025 11:00

Alloa Athletic 0 - 0 Stenhousemuir

SCO L1

20/12/2025 11:00

Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Inverness

SCO L1

13/12/2025 11:00

Montrose 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir

SCO L1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Greenock Morton

03/01/2026 11:00

Partick Thistle 3 - 2 Greenock Morton

SCO CH

27/12/2025 11:00

Greenock Morton 1 - 1 Ayr United

SCO CH

20/12/2025 11:00

Saint Johnstone 5 - 0 Greenock Morton

SCO CH

13/12/2025 11:00

Greenock Morton 0 - 1 Airdrie United

SCO CH

09/12/2025 15:45

Stirling Albion 2 - 2 Greenock Morton

SCO BC

05/12/2025 15:45

Greenock Morton 2 - 1 Queen's Park

SCO CH

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Scotland FA Cup

Played games

Stenhousemuir

Greenock Morton

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 55 matches

YesNo

42 (76%)13 (24%)

In last 55 matches

NoYes

30 (68%)14 (32%)

Stenhousemuir

Recent matches

Greenock Morton

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)35 9(20%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)15 29(66%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)20 24(55%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)24 20(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Stenhousemuir

Greenock Morton

Shots

Stenhousemuir

Total shots

9.98 avg / game

Blocked

33 total

Avg. 1.43

Greenock Morton

Total shots

8.80 avg / game

Blocked

57 total

Avg. 2.48

Stenhousemuir Pass Greenock Morton

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Stenhousemuir

Played games

Greenock Morton

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.23

4.47

246

Corners

200

4.55

0.40

Throw-ins

0.00

0.42

Offsides

1.16

2.38

131

GK saves

110

2.50

Stenhousemuir

DISCIPLINARY

Greenock Morton

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

129

2.20

0.02

0.09

11.87

653

Fouls

453

10.30

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Scotland FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Stenhousemuir's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Greenock Morton's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Scotland FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Scotland FA Cup standings and the Scotland FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Stenhousemuir and Greenock Morton sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Scotland FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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