St. Pauli vs Union Berlin: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 January

St. Pauli

W D D L D

14th place in German Bundesliga

3-0

26/01/2025 12:30

Union Berlin

D D D D L

13th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs Union Berlin on 26 January 2025 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs Union Berlin preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli are currently 14th with 32 points after 34 matches.
Union Berlin sit 13th with 40 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: St. Pauli to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Union Berlin, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. St. Pauli have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2025-01-26

St. Pauli vs Union Berlin - Prediction & Odds

St. Pauli

Union Berlin

2025-01-26 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/01/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	82	34	25	7	2	99	32	67
02 Bayer Leverkusen	69	34	19	12	3	72	43	29
03 Eintracht Frankfurt	60	34	17	9	8	68	46	22
04 Borussia Dortmund	57	34	17	6	11	71	51	20
05 SC Freiburg	55	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4
06 FSV Mainz 05	52	34	14	10	10	55	43	12
07 RB Leipzig	51	34	13	12	9	53	48	5
08 Werder Bremen	51	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3
09 VfB Stuttgart	50	34	14	8	12	64	53	11
10 Borussia Monchengladbach	45	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2
11 VfL Wolfsburg	43	34	11	10	13	56	54	2
12 Augsburg	43	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16
13 Union Berlin	40	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16
14 St. Pauli	32	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13
15 TSG Hoffenheim	32	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22
16 Heidenheimer	29	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27
17 Holstein Kiel	25	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31
18 VfL Bochum	25	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34

Head To Head

30/08/2024 14:30

Union Berlin

1 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D1

21/12/2022 08:00

Union Berlin

3 - 2

St. Pauli

INT CF

01/03/2022 15:45

Union Berlin

2 - 1

St. Pauli

GERC

04/02/2019 15:30

St. Pauli

3 - 2

Union Berlin

GER D2

26/08/2018 07:30

Union Berlin

4 - 1

St. Pauli

GER D2

14/04/2018 07:00

St. Pauli

0 - 1

Union Berlin

GER D2

St. Pauli

17%

Draw

Union Berlin

83%

St. Pauli Last 6 matches

18/01/2025 10:30

Heidenheimer 0 - 2 St. Pauli GER D1

15/01/2025 13:30

VfL Bochum 1 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

11/01/2025 10:30

St. Pauli 0 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

05/01/2025 11:30

Eintracht Braunschweig 2 - 1 St. Pauli INT CF

21/12/2024 10:30

VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 St. Pauli GER D1

14/12/2024 13:30

St. Pauli 0 - 2 Werder Bremen GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Union Berlin

19/01/2025 10:30

Union Berlin 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

15/01/2025 15:30

Union Berlin 0 - 2 Augsburg GER D1

11/01/2025 10:30

Heidenheimer 2 - 0 Union Berlin GER D1

05/01/2025 08:00

Union Berlin 1 - 2 Holstein Kiel INT CF

21/12/2024 10:30

Werder Bremen 4 - 1 Union Berlin GER D1

14/12/2024 10:30

Union Berlin 1 - 1 VfL Bochum GER D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

Goals

Scored

422

Avg. per game

1.59

Conceded

357

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored

433

Avg. per game

1.45

Conceded

399

Avg. per game

1.34

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 265 matches

YesNo

197 (74%)68 (26%)

In last 265 matches

NoYes

218 (73%)80 (27%)

St. Pauli

Recent matches

Union Berlin

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

St. Pauli

Union Berlin

Shots

St. Pauli

Total shots

13.35 avg / game

Blocked

763 total

Avg. 3.78

Union Berlin

Total shots

11.99 avg / game

Blocked

629 total

Avg. 2.85

St. Pauli Pass Union Berlin

Total passes

101247

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

89734

Avg. 380 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

St. Pauli

265

Played games

Union Berlin

298

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.27

4.69

1242

Corners

1376

4.62

17.25

4572

Throw-ins

4659

15.63

1.52

404

Offsides

491

1.65

2.34

619

GK saves

711

2.39

St. Pauli

DISCIPLINARY

Union Berlin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

418

495

1.66

0.07

0.08

8.78

2328

Fouls

3105

10.42

11.12

2947

Tackles

3460

11.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Eintracht Braunschweig

How We Build the St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs Union Berlin on 26 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Union Berlin's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and Union Berlin sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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