St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 March

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg on 22 March 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Starting Lineups Time : 22/03/2026 12:30

St. Pauli
1 - 2
Finished
SC Freiburg
89' event Martijn Kaars / Tomoya Ando
84' event Conor Metcalfe / Matias Rasmussen
84' event Andreas Hountondji / Mathias Pereira Lage
68' event Louis Oppie / Lars Ritzka
24' event Daniel Sinani
14' event Tomoya Ando
event 90+7' Yuito Suzuki
event 89' Patrick Osterhage / Johan Manzambi
event 86' Lucas Holer / Igor Matanovic
event 78' Igor Matanovic
event 74' Cyriaque Irie Goal Disallowed - offside
event 68' Derry Scherhant / Vincenzo Grifo
event 65' Igor Matanovic
event 46' Cyriaque Irie / Jan-Niklas Beste
event 46' Philipp Lienhart / Ifechukwu Ogbus
89' event Martijn Kaars / Tomoya Ando
event 90+7' Yuito Suzuki
84' event Conor Metcalfe / Matias Rasmussen
event 89' Patrick Osterhage / Johan Manzambi
84' event Andreas Hountondji / Mathias Pereira Lage
event 86' Lucas Holer / Igor Matanovic
68' event Louis Oppie / Lars Ritzka
event 78' Igor Matanovic
24' event Daniel Sinani
event 74' Cyriaque Irie Goal Disallowed - offside
14' event Tomoya Ando
event 68' Derry Scherhant / Vincenzo Grifo
event 65' Igor Matanovic
event 46' Cyriaque Irie / Jan-Niklas Beste
event 46' Philipp Lienhart / Ifechukwu Ogbus
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#24 Conor Metcalfe
#27 Andreas Hountondji
#23 Louis Oppie
#19 Martijn Kaars
#4 David Nemeth
#9 Abdoulie Ceesay
#18 Taichi Hara
#25 Adam Dzwigala
#1 Ben Alexander Voll
St. Pauli St. Pauli SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
12Shots15
5Shots on Goal6
9Fouls6
3Corner Kick2
6Free kick9
5Offside3
1Yellow card1
15Aerial1
4Save4
16Successful Tackles7
5Interceptions8
14Long pass30
1Assist0
6Successful center6
4Substitution5
5Shots off goal6
16Head Success14
2Blocked3
11Tackle6
3Dribbles4
16Throw-in16
432Passes450
109Attacks76
52Dangerous attacks31
3Corner Kicks(HT)1
2BigChances5
1BigChancesMissed3
7ShotsInsideBox13
5ShotsOutsideBox2
40DuelsWon39
1.14ExpectedGoals2.04
1.17xGOT3.23
22Touches In Opposition Box22
15AccurateCrosses12
24GroundDuelsWon24
16AerialDuelsWon15
24Clearances27
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
Substitutions
#3 Philipp Lienhart
#22 Cyriaque Irie
#9 Lucas Holer
#6 Patrick Osterhage
#7 Derry Scherhant
#27 Nicolas Hofler
#17 Lukas Kubler
#30 Christian Gunter
#21 Florian Muller
Commentary
90+7' Yuito Suzuki - SC Freiburg receive a yellow card
89' St. Pauli — substitution: Martijn Kaars / Tomoya Ando
89' SC Freiburg — substitution: Patrick Osterhage / Johan Manzambi
86' SC Freiburg — substitution: Lucas Holer / Igor Matanovic
84' St. Pauli — substitution: Conor Metcalfe / Matias Rasmussen
84' St. Pauli — substitution: Andreas Hountondji / Mathias Pereira Lage
78' Goal! Igor Matanovic - SC Freiburg
74' VAR review - SC Freiburg
68' St. Pauli — substitution: Louis Oppie / Lars Ritzka
68' SC Freiburg — substitution: Derry Scherhant / Vincenzo Grifo
65' Goal! Igor Matanovic - SC Freiburg
46' SC Freiburg — substitution: Cyriaque Irie / Jan-Niklas Beste
46' SC Freiburg — substitution: Philipp Lienhart / Ifechukwu Ogbus
24' Goal! Daniel Sinani - St. Pauli
14' Tomoya Ando - St. Pauli receive a yellow card

How We Build the St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg on 22 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against SC Freiburg's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and SC Freiburg sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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