St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 January

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig on 27 January 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig: Starting Lineups Time : 27/01/2026 15:30

St. Pauli
1 - 1
Finished
RB Leipzig
90+2' event Martijn Kaars
87' event Abdoulie Ceesay / Manolis Saliakas
77' event Matias Rasmussen / Joeru Fujita
77' event Jackson Irvine / James Sands
76' event Mathias Pereira Lage / Daniel Sinani
67' event Martijn Kaars / Ricky-Jade Jones
event 90+3' Benjamin Henrichs / Yan Diomande
event 85' Ezechiel Banzuzi / Christoph Baumgartner
event 85' Tidiam Gomis / Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
event 66' Yan Diomande
event 64' Conrad Harder / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
event 49' Christoph Baumgartner
90+2' event Martijn Kaars
event 90+3' Benjamin Henrichs / Yan Diomande
87' event Abdoulie Ceesay / Manolis Saliakas
event 85' Ezechiel Banzuzi / Christoph Baumgartner
77' event Matias Rasmussen / Joeru Fujita
event 85' Tidiam Gomis / Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
77' event Jackson Irvine / James Sands
event 66' Yan Diomande
76' event Mathias Pereira Lage / Daniel Sinani
event 64' Conrad Harder / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
67' event Martijn Kaars / Ricky-Jade Jones
event 49' Christoph Baumgartner
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#7 Jackson Irvine
#28 Mathias Pereira Lage
#9 Abdoulie Ceesay
#19 Martijn Kaars
#20 Matias Rasmussen
#34 Jannik Robatsch
#23 Louis Oppie
#21 Lars Ritzka
#1 Ben Alexander Voll
St. Pauli St. Pauli RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
7Shots12
2Shots on Goal5
6Fouls8
4Corner Kick3
7Free kick6
5Offside3
0Yellow card1
27Aerial27
5Save1
26Successful Tackles7
18Interceptions10
21Long pass20
2Successful center3
5Substitution4
3Shots off goal5
0Hit The Post1
15Head Success12
2Blocked2
17Tackle7
6Dribbles11
20Throw-in22
511Passes604
113Attacks138
37Dangerous attacks56
1Corner Kicks(HT)1
2BigChances3
1BigChancesMissed3
3ShotsInsideBox9
4ShotsOutsideBox3
55DuelsWon40
1.45ExpectedGoals1.09
0.67xGNonPenalty1.09
1.12xGOT1.59
18Touches In Opposition Box35
14AccurateCrosses9
40GroundDuelsWon28
15AerialDuelsWon12
20Clearances31
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Substitutions
#11 Conrad Harder
#27 Tidiam Gomis
#39 Benjamin Henrichs
#6 Ezechiel Banzuzi
#26 Maarten Vandevoordt
#16 Lukas Klostermann
#35 Max Finkgrafe
#19 Kosta Nedeljkovic
#33 Andrija Maksimovic
Commentary
90+3' RB Leipzig — substitution: Benjamin Henrichs / Yan Diomande
90+2' Penalty scored! Martijn Kaars - St. Pauli
87' St. Pauli — substitution: Abdoulie Ceesay / Manolis Saliakas
85' RB Leipzig — substitution: Ezechiel Banzuzi / Christoph Baumgartner
85' RB Leipzig — substitution: Tidiam Gomis / Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
77' St. Pauli — substitution: Matias Rasmussen / Joeru Fujita
77' St. Pauli — substitution: Jackson Irvine / James Sands
76' St. Pauli — substitution: Mathias Pereira Lage / Daniel Sinani
67' St. Pauli — substitution: Martijn Kaars / Ricky-Jade Jones
66' Goal! Yan Diomande - RB Leipzig
64' RB Leipzig — substitution: Conrad Harder / Romulo Jose Cardoso da Cruz
49' Christoph Baumgartner - RB Leipzig receive a yellow card

How We Build the St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig on 27 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against RB Leipzig's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and RB Leipzig sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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