St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 January

St. Pauli
LDLLL
18th place in German Bundesliga
X
0-0
FT
23/01/2026 15:30
Hamburger SV
LLLWW
13th place in German Bundesliga
German Bundesliga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV on 23 January 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV preview before placing your bet.

  • St. Pauli will face Hamburger SV in German Bundesliga on January 23, 2026 at 15:30.
  • St. Pauli are currently 18th with 26 points after 34 matches.
  • Hamburger SV sit 13th with 38 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.95.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:30

2026-01-23

St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV - Prediction & Odds

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
2026-01-23 15:30
38
30
32
X
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.95
FT
0-0 0-0
-
weather
-6℃～-5℃
STANDINGS UP TO 23/01/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Bayern Munchen Bayern Munchen
89 34 28 5 1 122 36 86
02 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
73 34 22 7 5 70 34 36
03 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
65 34 20 5 9 66 47 19
04 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
62 34 18 8 8 71 49 22
05 TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
61 34 18 7 9 65 52 13
06 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
59 34 17 8 9 68 47 21
07 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
47 34 13 8 13 51 57 -6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
44 34 11 11 12 61 65 -4
09 Augsburg Augsburg
43 34 12 7 15 45 61 -16
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
40 34 10 10 14 44 53 -9
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin
39 34 10 9 15 44 58 -14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia Monchengladbach
38 34 9 11 14 42 53 -11
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
38 34 9 11 14 40 54 -14
14 FC Koln FC Koln
32 34 7 11 16 49 63 -14
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
32 34 8 8 18 37 60 -23
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
29 34 7 8 19 45 69 -24
17 Heidenheimer Heidenheimer
26 34 6 8 20 41 72 -31
18 St. Pauli St. Pauli
26 34 6 8 20 29 60 -31
Head To Head
29/08/2025 14:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0 - 2
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D1
03/05/2024 12:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1 - 0
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
01/12/2023 13:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
2 - 2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
21/04/2023 12:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
4 - 3
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
14/10/2022 12:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
3 - 0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
21/01/2022 13:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
2 - 1
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
Hamburger SV
4
67%
Draw
1
17%
St. Pauli
1
17%
St. Pauli St. Pauli Last 6 matches
17/01/2026 10:30
Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 St. Pauli
GER D1
14/01/2026 13:30
VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St. Pauli
GER D1
04/01/2026 10:30
St. Pauli 0 - 0 Werder Bremen
INT CF
21/12/2025 10:30
FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 St. Pauli
GER D1
13/12/2025 10:30
St. Pauli 2 - 1 Heidenheimer
GER D1
06/12/2025 10:30
FC Koln 1 - 1 St. Pauli
GER D1
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
17/01/2026 10:30
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia Monchengladbach
GER D1
10/01/2026 10:30
SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV
GER D1
20/12/2025 10:30
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt
GER D1
13/12/2025 10:30
TSG Hoffenheim 4 - 1 Hamburger SV
GER D1
07/12/2025 10:30
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Werder Bremen
GER D1
03/12/2025 15:45
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Holstein Kiel
GERC
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues German Bundesliga
Played games
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
16
 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
17
Goals
Scored
16
Avg. per game
1.00
Conceded
28
Avg. per game
1.75
Scored
25
Avg. per game
1.47
Conceded
22
Avg. per game
1.29
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 16 home matches
YesNo
10 (63%)6 (38%)
In last 16 home matches
NoYes
13 (76%)4 (24%)
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Recent matches

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Under /Over

(81%)13 3(19%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

Under /Over

(25%)4 12(75%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

Under /Over

(63%)10 6(37%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

/Yes

(63%)10 6(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
Shots
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Total shots
10.56 avg / game
Blocked
43 total
Avg. 2.69
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Total shots
13.24 avg / game
Blocked
58 total
Avg. 3.41
St. Pauli St. Pauli Pass Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
Total passes
6919
Avg. 432 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
45%
Total passes
6598
Avg. 388 / game
Accurate
80%
Ball possession
46%
TOTAL ATTACKS
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
1619
Avg. 101.19 / game
 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1481
Avg. 87.12 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
731
Avg. 45.69 / game
 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
652
Avg. 38.35 / game
OTHERS
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
16
Played games
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.13
2
Clean sheets
2
0.12
5.75
92
Corners
63
3.71
21.25
340
Throw-ins
292
17.18
2.19
35
Offsides
23
1.35
3.25
52
GK saves
40
2.35
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
DISCIPLINARY
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.69
27
Yellow card
37
2.18
0.06
1
Red card
3
0.18
9.75
156
Fouls
205
12.06
10.31
165
Tackles
161
9.47
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How We Build the St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV on 23 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Hamburger SV's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and Hamburger SV sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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