St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 05 October 2024 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Starting Lineups Time : 05/10/2024 12:30

St. Pauli
0 - 3
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
90' event Andreas Albers / Elias Saad
83' event Scott Banks / Johannes Eggestein
83' event Lars Ritzka / Philipp Treu
63' event Daniel Sinani / Oladapo Afolayan
63' event Morgan Guilavogui / Robert Wagner
event 90+1' Nelson Weiper / Jonathan Michael Burkardt
event 88' Dominik Kohr
event 83' Hong Hyun Seok / Nadiem Amiri
event 79' Moritz Jenz
event 65' Paul Nebel / Armindo Sieb
event 62' Jonathan Michael Burkardt
event 20' Armindo Sieb
event 16' Armindo Sieb
event 5' Jonathan Michael Burkardt
90' event Andreas Albers / Elias Saad
event 90+1' Nelson Weiper / Jonathan Michael Burkardt
83' event Scott Banks / Johannes Eggestein
event 88' Dominik Kohr
83' event Lars Ritzka / Philipp Treu
event 83' Hong Hyun Seok / Nadiem Amiri
63' event Daniel Sinani / Oladapo Afolayan
event 79' Moritz Jenz
63' event Morgan Guilavogui / Robert Wagner
event 65' Paul Nebel / Armindo Sieb
event 62' Jonathan Michael Burkardt
event 20' Armindo Sieb
event 16' Armindo Sieb
event 5' Jonathan Michael Burkardt
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#19 Andreas Albers
#21 Lars Ritzka
#29 Morgan Guilavogui
#10 Daniel Sinani
#18 Scott Banks
#4 David Nemeth
#25 Adam Dzwigala
#1 Ben Alexander Voll
#14 Fin Stevens
St. Pauli St. Pauli FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
19Shots8
4Shots on Goal4
12Fouls16
2Corner Kick2
20Free kick15
1Offside1
0Yellow card3
47Aerial29
1Save4
12Successful Tackles23
6Interceptions9
19Long pass18
0Assist3
5Substitution3
6Shots off goal3
17Head Success21
9Blocked1
12Tackle23
9Dribbles5
41Throw-in12
504Passes420
157Attacks57
64Dangerous attacks15
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#8 Paul Nebel
#44 Nelson Weiper
#14 Hong Hyun Seok
#9 Karim Onisiwo
#17 Gabriel Vidovic
#1 Lasse RieB
#16 Stefan Bell
#21 Danny Vieira da Costa
#30 Silvan Widmer
Commentary
90+1' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Nelson Weiper / Jonathan Michael Burkardt
90' St. Pauli — substitution: Andreas Albers / Elias Saad
88' Dominik Kohr - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
83' St. Pauli — substitution: Scott Banks / Johannes Eggestein
83' St. Pauli — substitution: Lars Ritzka / Philipp Treu
83' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Hong Hyun Seok / Nadiem Amiri
79' Moritz Jenz - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
65' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Paul Nebel / Armindo Sieb
63' St. Pauli — substitution: Daniel Sinani / Oladapo Afolayan
63' St. Pauli — substitution: Morgan Guilavogui / Robert Wagner
62' Goal! Jonathan Michael Burkardt - FSV Mainz 05
20' Armindo Sieb - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
16' Goal! Armindo Sieb - FSV Mainz 05
5' Goal! Jonathan Michael Burkardt - FSV Mainz 05

How We Build the St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 on 05 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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