St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 August

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund on 23 August 2025 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund: Starting Lineups Time : 23/08/2025 12:30

St. Pauli
3 - 3
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
89' event Eric Smith
87' event Oladapo Afolayan / James Sands
86' event Daniel Sinani
84' event Abdoulie Ceesay Penalty awarded
77' event Conor Metcalfe / Adam Dzwigala
77' event Manolis Saliakas / Arkadiusz Pyrka
68' event Abdoulie Ceesay / Andreas Hountondji
50' event Andreas Hountondji
37' event Eric Smith
22' event Adam Dzwigala
event 90+2' Marcel Sabitzer
event 87' Salih Ozcan / Pascal Gross
event 85' Filippo Mane
event 74' Julian Brandt
event 67' Waldemar Anton
event 65' Yan Bueno Couto
event 46' Julian Brandt / Karim Adeyemi
event 46' Felix Nmecha / Jobe Bellingham
event 39' Sehrou Guirassy
event 34' Sehrou Guirassy
event 26' Ramy Bensebaini
89' event Eric Smith
event 90+2' Marcel Sabitzer
87' event Oladapo Afolayan / James Sands
event 87' Salih Ozcan / Pascal Gross
86' event Daniel Sinani
event 85' Filippo Mane
84' event Abdoulie Ceesay Penalty awarded
event 74' Julian Brandt
77' event Conor Metcalfe / Adam Dzwigala
event 67' Waldemar Anton
77' event Manolis Saliakas / Arkadiusz Pyrka
event 65' Yan Bueno Couto
68' event Abdoulie Ceesay / Andreas Hountondji
event 46' Julian Brandt / Karim Adeyemi
50' event Andreas Hountondji
event 46' Felix Nmecha / Jobe Bellingham
37' event Eric Smith
event 39' Sehrou Guirassy
22' event Adam Dzwigala
event 34' Sehrou Guirassy
event 26' Ramy Bensebaini
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Substitutions
#24 Conor Metcalfe
#9 Abdoulie Ceesay
#2 Manolis Saliakas
#17 Oladapo Afolayan
#34 Jannik Robatsch
#21 Lars Ritzka
#20 Erik Ahlstrand
#18 Scott Banks
#1 Ben Alexander Voll
St. Pauli St. Pauli Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
11Shots8
7Shots on Goal7
13Fouls12
5Corner Kick2
12Free kick13
4Offside3
2Yellow card3
0Red card1
21Aerial27
4Save4
19Successful Tackles8
6Interceptions8
26Long pass19
2Assist3
4Substitution3
3Shots off goal1
6Head Success18
1Blocked1
20Tackle10
7Dribbles3
23Throw-in17
484Passes481
93Attacks96
58Dangerous attacks23
5Corner Kicks(HT)0
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Substitutions
#8 Felix Nmecha
#10 Julian Brandt
#6 Salih Ozcan
#33 Alexander Niklas Meyer
#14 Maximilian Beier
#49 Yannik Luhrs
#42 Almugera Kabar
#26 Julian Ryerson
#37 Cole Campbell
Commentary
90+2' Marcel Sabitzer - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
89' Goal! Eric Smith - St. Pauli
87' St. Pauli — substitution: Oladapo Afolayan / James Sands
87' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Salih Ozcan / Pascal Gross
86' Penalty scored! Daniel Sinani - St. Pauli
85' Filippo Mane - Borussia Dortmund receive a red card
84' VAR review - St. Pauli
77' St. Pauli — substitution: Conor Metcalfe / Adam Dzwigala
77' St. Pauli — substitution: Manolis Saliakas / Arkadiusz Pyrka
74' Goal! Julian Brandt - Borussia Dortmund
68' St. Pauli — substitution: Abdoulie Ceesay / Andreas Hountondji
67' Goal! Waldemar Anton - Borussia Dortmund
65' Yan Bueno Couto - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
50' Goal! Andreas Hountondji - St. Pauli
46' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Julian Brandt / Karim Adeyemi
46' Borussia Dortmund — substitution: Felix Nmecha / Jobe Bellingham
39' Penalty missed! Sehrou Guirassy - Borussia Dortmund
37' Eric Smith - St. Pauli receive a yellow card
34' Goal! Sehrou Guirassy - Borussia Dortmund
26' Ramy Bensebaini - Borussia Dortmund receive a yellow card
22' Adam Dzwigala - St. Pauli receive a yellow card

How We Build the St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund on 23 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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