St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

St. Pauli

L D L L L

18th place in German Bundesliga

1-2

27/09/2025 09:30

Bayer Leverkusen

W L W W L

6th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli will face Bayer Leverkusen in German Bundesliga on September 27, 2025 at 09:30.
St. Pauli are currently 18th with 26 points after 34 matches.
Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th with 59 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.11.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2025-09-27

St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen - Prediction & Odds

St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen

2025-09-27 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

20/04/2025 13:30

St. Pauli

1 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

GER D1

07/12/2024 10:30

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 1

St. Pauli

GER D1

04/09/2014 12:30

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 2

St. Pauli

INT CF

10/04/2011 11:30

Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 1

St. Pauli

GER D1

13/11/2010 10:30

St. Pauli

0 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

GER D1

16/07/2010 13:05

St. Pauli

1 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen

INT CF

St. Pauli

33%

Draw

50%

Bayer Leverkusen

17%

St. Pauli Last 6 matches

19/09/2025 14:30

VfB Stuttgart 2 - 0 St. Pauli

GER D1

14/09/2025 09:30

St. Pauli 2 - 1 Augsburg

GER D1

03/09/2025 07:30

Holstein Kiel 1 - 1 St. Pauli

INT CF

29/08/2025 14:30

Hamburger SV 0 - 2 St. Pauli

GER D1

23/08/2025 12:30

St. Pauli 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund

GER D1

16/08/2025 09:30

Eintracht Norderstedt 0 - 0 St. Pauli

GERC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Bayer Leverkusen

18/09/2025 12:45

FC Copenhagen 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen

UEFA CL

12/09/2025 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt

GER D1

03/09/2025 05:00

Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 FC Viktoria koln

INT CF

30/08/2025 09:30

Werder Bremen 3 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen

GER D1

23/08/2025 09:30

Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 2 TSG Hoffenheim

GER D1

15/08/2025 12:40

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen

GERC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Played games

St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.73

Scored

Avg. per game

2.03

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 33 matches

YesNo

20 (61%)13 (39%)

In last 33 matches

NoYes

29 (88%)4 (12%)

St. Pauli

Recent matches

Bayer Leverkusen

Under /Over

(82%)27 6(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(85%)28 5(15%)

Under /Over

(24%)8 25(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(61%)20 13(39%)

Under /Over

(48%)16 17(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)14 19(58%)

/Yes

(55%)18 15(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)21 12(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen

Shots

St. Pauli

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

101 total

Avg. 3.06

Bayer Leverkusen

Total shots

14.82 avg / game

Blocked

120 total

Avg. 3.87

St. Pauli Pass Bayer Leverkusen

Total passes

14189

Avg. 430 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

20006

Avg. 606 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

St. Pauli

Played games

Bayer Leverkusen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.15

Clean sheets

0.24

4.64

153

Corners

182

5.52

21.09

696

Throw-ins

556

16.85

1.94

Offsides

1.21

3.55

117

GK saves

115

3.48

St. Pauli

DISCIPLINARY

Bayer Leverkusen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.55

2.06

0.06

0.06

9.73

321

Fouls

284

8.61

10.64

351

Tackles

271

8.21

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bayer Leverkusen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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