Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 May

Spartak Varna

L L L L W

12th place in League

3-0

22/05/2026 11:00

Lokomotiv Sofia

D W L L W

11th place in League

Bulgaria Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia on 22 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview before placing your bet.

Spartak Varna are currently 12th with 27 points after 30 matches.
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 11th with 37 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Spartak Varna to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Lokomotiv Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Spartak Varna have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-05-22

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia - Prediction & Odds

Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Sofia

2026-05-22 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 22/05/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Levski Sofia	70	30	22	4	4	64	22	42
02 Ludogorets Razgrad	60	30	17	9	4	57	20	37
03 CSKA 1948 Sofia	59	30	18	5	7	50	31	19
04 CSKA Sofia	56	30	16	8	6	43	23	20
05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	46	30	11	13	6	30	33	-3
06 Cherno More Varna	44	30	11	11	8	33	26	7
07 FC Arda Kardzhali	44	30	12	8	10	33	27	6
08 Botev Plovdiv	40	30	11	7	12	40	37	3
09 Slavia Sofia	39	30	10	9	11	36	33	3
10 Botev Vratsa	38	30	9	11	10	24	26	-2
11 Lokomotiv Sofia	37	30	9	10	11	40	39	1
12 Spartak Varna	27	30	5	12	13	25	50	-25
13 FC Dobrudzha	26	30	7	5	18	23	43	-20
14 Septemvri Sofia	26	30	7	5	18	25	58	-33
15 Beroe Stara Zagora	23	30	4	11	15	19	44	-25
16 PFK Montana	17	30	3	8	19	15	45	-30

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Levski Sofia	81	6	3	2	1	7	3	4
02 CSKA 1948 Sofia	67	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
03 Ludogorets Razgrad	67	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1
04 CSKA Sofia	63	6	2	1	3	4	7	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Botev Vratsa	53	7	4	3	0	12	6	6
02 Lokomotiv Sofia	47	7	2	4	1	11	9	2
03 Slavia Sofia	46	7	2	1	4	6	11	-5
04 Spartak Varna	37	7	3	1	3	10	7	3
05 Septemvri Sofia	36	7	2	4	1	7	6	1
06 Beroe Stara Zagora	34	7	3	2	2	9	8	1
07 FC Dobrudzha	31	7	1	2	4	5	9	-4
08 PFK Montana	23	7	1	3	3	6	10	-4

Qualifications	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	55	6	3	0	3	6	8	-2
02 FC Arda Kardzhali	54	6	3	1	2	9	7	2
03 Cherno More Varna	54	6	3	1	2	7	8	-1
04 Botev Plovdiv	46	6	2	0	4	9	8	1

Head To Head

13/02/2026 11:45

Spartak Varna

2 - 2

Lokomotiv Sofia

BUL FL

22/08/2025 13:30

Lokomotiv Sofia

0 - 0

Spartak Varna

BUL FL

28/03/2025 10:15

Lokomotiv Sofia

2 - 1

Spartak Varna

BUL FL

06/10/2024 10:30

Spartak Varna

3 - 2

Lokomotiv Sofia

BUL FL

18/11/2023 08:00

Lokomotiv Sofia

0 - 0

Spartak Varna

BUL Cup

11/03/2023 09:00

Spartak Varna

1 - 2

Lokomotiv Sofia

BUL FL

Spartak Varna

17%

Draw

50%

Lokomotiv Sofia

33%

Spartak Varna Last 6 matches

18/05/2026 12:30

PFK Montana 0 - 2 Spartak Varna BUL FL

14/05/2026 08:15

Septemvri Sofia 1 - 0 Spartak Varna BUL FL

10/05/2026 07:15

Spartak Varna 2 - 1 Slavia Sofia BUL FL

06/05/2026 13:00

Spartak Varna 1 - 1 FC Dobrudzha BUL FL

02/05/2026 09:30

Botev Vratsa 2 - 1 Spartak Varna BUL FL

24/04/2026 12:30

Spartak Varna 1 - 2 Beroe Stara Zagora BUL FL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lokomotiv Sofia

18/05/2026 12:30

Lokomotiv Sofia 2 - 0 Slavia Sofia BUL FL

14/05/2026 13:15

Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 1 Beroe Stara Zagora BUL FL

09/05/2026 06:45

PFK Montana 2 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia BUL FL

05/05/2026 13:00

Lokomotiv Sofia 2 - 2 Botev Vratsa BUL FL

01/05/2026 13:00

FC Dobrudzha 0 - 3 Lokomotiv Sofia BUL FL

27/04/2026 13:00

Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 1 Septemvri Sofia BUL FL

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Bulgaria Premier Leagu...

Played games

Goals

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

307

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored

343

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

378

Avg. per game

1.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 233 matches

YesNo

174 (75%)59 (25%)

In last 233 matches

NoYes

193 (70%)83 (30%)

Spartak Varna

Recent matches

Lokomotiv Sofia

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Sofia

Shots

Spartak Varna

Total shots

8.99 avg / game

Blocked

36 total

Avg. 2.40

Lokomotiv Sofia

Total shots

9.40 avg / game

Blocked

59 total

Avg. 2.11

Spartak Varna Pass Lokomotiv Sofia

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Spartak Varna

233

Played games

Lokomotiv Sofia

276

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.30

3.87

901

Corners

1071

3.88

2.70

628

Throw-ins

767

2.78

0.30

Offsides

192

0.70

1.25

292

GK saves

453

1.64

Spartak Varna

DISCIPLINARY

Lokomotiv Sofia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.94

453

566

2.05

0.12

0.13

3.80

885

Fouls

1710

6.20

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia on 22 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Bulgaria Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Spartak Varna's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lokomotiv Sofia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Bulgaria Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Bulgaria Premier League standings and the Bulgaria Premier League form table to understand exactly where Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Bulgaria Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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