Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Spartak Varna

L D W L D

16th place in Bulgaria Premier League

1 - 2

11/03/2023 09:00

Lokomotiv Sofia

L W L L L

9th place in Bulgaria Premier League

Bulgaria Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview before placing your bet.

Spartak Varna are currently 16th with 17 points after 30 matches.
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 9th with 38 points from 30 matches.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ludogorets Razgrad	74	30	23	5	2	72	21	51
02 CSKA Sofia	73	30	23	4	3	57	14	43
03 CSKA 1948 Sofia	59	30	17	8	5	49	22	27
04 Levski Sofia	54	30	15	9	6	38	14	24
05 Cherno More Varna	53	30	15	8	7	36	27	9
06 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	50	30	14	8	8	33	28	5
07 Slavia Sofia	49	30	15	4	11	31	27	4
08 Arda	42	30	11	9	10	33	32	1
09 Lokomotiv Sofia	38	30	10	8	12	32	38	-6
10 Botev Plovdiv	32	30	9	5	16	38	40	-2
11 Botev Vratsa	28	30	7	7	16	23	55	-32
12 Beroe Stara Zagora	27	30	7	6	17	26	47	-21
13 Pirin Blagoevgrad	24	30	5	9	16	21	39	-18
14 FC Hebar Pazardzhik	23	30	6	5	19	19	51	-32
15 Septemvri Sofia	22	30	5	7	18	25	45	-20
16 Spartak Varna	17	30	3	8	19	27	60	-33

Head To Head

27/08/2022 13:45

Lokomotiv Sofia

3 - 2

Spartak Varna

BUL D1

24/08/2019 11:59

Spartak Varna

1 - 0

Lokomotiv Sofia

BUL D2

31/05/2009 10:00

Lokomotiv Sofia

2 - 2

Spartak Varna

BUL D1

29/01/2009 04:35

Spartak Varna

2 - 1

Lokomotiv Sofia

INT CF

21/11/2008 08:00

Spartak Varna

0 - 0

Lokomotiv Sofia

BUL D1

20/04/2008 10:00

Lokomotiv Sofia

1 - 0

Spartak Varna

BUL D1

Spartak Varna

33%

Draw

33%

Lokomotiv Sofia

33%

Spartak Varna Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 09:00

Spartak Varna 2 - 1 Botev Vratsa BUL D1

20/02/2023 08:30

FC Hebar Pazardzhik 0 - 0 Spartak Varna BUL D1

11/02/2023 09:00

Spartak Varna 1 - 2 Ludogorets Razgrad BUL D1

02/02/2023 07:00

FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov 0 - 2 Spartak Varna INT CF

29/01/2023 09:00

FC Mynai 0 - 0 Spartak Varna INT CF

21/01/2023 09:00

Chernomorets Odessa 1 - 1 Spartak Varna INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Lokomotiv Sofia

25/02/2023 11:30

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia BUL D1

18/02/2023 06:30

Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 1 Septemvri Sofia BUL D1

10/02/2023 11:30

Botev Plovdiv 0 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia BUL D1

03/02/2023 08:00

Lokomotiv Sofia 3 - 2 Sportist Svoge INT CF

28/01/2023 09:00

Metalist Kharkiv 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Sofia INT CF

22/01/2023 10:00

Vojvodina Novi Sad 2 - 0 Lokomotiv Sofia INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Bulgaria Premier Leagu...

Played games

Goals

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

307

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored

343

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

378

Avg. per game

1.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 233 matches

YesNo

174 (75%)59 (25%)

In last 233 matches

NoYes

193 (70%)83 (30%)

Spartak Varna

Recent matches

Lokomotiv Sofia

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Sofia

Shots

Spartak Varna

Total shots

8.99 avg / game

Blocked

36 total

Avg. 2.40

Lokomotiv Sofia

Total shots

9.40 avg / game

Blocked

59 total

Avg. 2.11

Spartak Varna Pass Lokomotiv Sofia

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Spartak Varna

233

Played games

Lokomotiv Sofia

276

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.30

3.87

901

Corners

1071

3.88

2.70

628

Throw-ins

767

2.78

0.30

Offsides

192

0.70

1.25

292

GK saves

453

1.64

Spartak Varna

DISCIPLINARY

Lokomotiv Sofia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.94

453

566

2.05

0.12

0.13

3.80

885

Fouls

1710

6.20

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Bulgaria Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Spartak Varna's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lokomotiv Sofia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Bulgaria Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Bulgaria Premier League standings and the Bulgaria Premier League form table to understand exactly where Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Bulgaria Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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