Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 October

Spartak Varna

W L W W W

6th place in League

1-0

23/10/2024 10:30

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

D W D L L

14th place in League

Bulgaria Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv on 23 October 2024 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv preview before placing your bet.

Spartak Varna are currently 6th with 48 points after 30 matches.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 14th with 28 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Spartak Varna to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Lokomotiv Plovdiv, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Spartak Varna have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2024-10-23

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Prediction & Odds

Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2024-10-23 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 23/10/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ludogorets Razgrad	76	30	24	4	2	62	14	48
02 Levski Sofia	62	30	19	5	6	55	25	30
03 Arda	53	30	15	8	7	49	33	16
04 Cherno More Varna	53	30	14	11	5	41	25	16
05 Botev Plovdiv	49	30	14	7	9	32	31	1
06 Spartak Varna	48	30	14	6	10	39	38	1
07 CSKA Sofia	47	30	13	8	9	40	27	13
08 Beroe Stara Zagora	42	30	12	6	12	34	29	5
09 Slavia Sofia	42	30	12	6	12	43	42	1
10 CSKA 1948 Sofia	34	30	8	10	12	38	44	-6
11 Septemvri Sofia	33	30	10	3	17	32	47	-15
12 FK Levski Krumovgrad	30	30	7	9	14	16	31	-15
13 Lokomotiv Sofia	30	30	8	6	16	29	49	-20
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	28	30	7	7	16	27	40	-13
15 Botev Vratsa	21	30	5	6	19	24	57	-33
16 FC Hebar Pazardzhik	17	30	3	8	19	23	52	-29

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ludogorets Razgrad	83	6	1	4	1	8	8	0
02 Levski Sofia	72	6	2	4	0	9	4	5
03 Cherno More Varna	59	6	1	3	2	3	5	-2
04 Arda	58	6	0	5	1	5	8	-3

Relegation Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Slavia Sofia	49	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3
02 Lokomotiv Sofia	47	7	5	2	0	14	2	12
03 CSKA 1948 Sofia	47	7	4	1	2	7	3	4
04 Septemvri Sofia	45	7	4	0	3	10	9	1
05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv	38	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
06 Botev Vratsa	36	7	5	0	2	10	8	2
07 FK Levski Krumovgrad	33	7	1	0	6	4	14	-10
08 FC Hebar Pazardzhik	21	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7

Qualifications	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CSKA Sofia	65	6	6	0	0	18	1	17
02 Botev Plovdiv	56	6	2	1	3	11	12	-1
03 Spartak Varna	51	6	1	0	5	6	15	-9
04 Beroe Stara Zagora	49	6	2	1	3	7	14	-7

Head To Head

28/04/2023 13:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

3 - 1

Spartak Varna

BUL D1

10/10/2022 09:00

Spartak Varna

0 - 2

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

BUL D1

03/04/2009 09:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2 - 1

Spartak Varna

BUL D1

04/02/2009 09:00

Spartak Varna

0 - 1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

INT CF

13/09/2008 10:00

Spartak Varna

1 - 1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

BUL D1

04/05/2008 11:00

Spartak Varna

2 - 1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

BUL D1

Spartak Varna

17%

Draw

17%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

67%

Spartak Varna Last 6 matches

18/10/2024 10:00

Beroe Stara Zagora 3 - 0 Spartak Varna BUL D1

06/10/2024 10:30

Spartak Varna 3 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia BUL D1

30/09/2024 13:00

Septemvri Sofia 0 - 1 Spartak Varna BUL D1

22/09/2024 13:00

Spartak Varna 0 - 2 Cherno More Varna BUL D1

13/09/2024 12:30

Botev Vratsa 1 - 1 Spartak Varna BUL D1

31/08/2024 12:00

Spartak Varna 0 - 0 Levski Sofia BUL D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Lokomotiv Plovdiv

18/10/2024 12:30

Botev Vratsa 0 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL D1

12/10/2024 04:00

Arda 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv INT CF

06/10/2024 13:00

Ludogorets Razgrad 1 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL D1

28/09/2024 10:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 2 FK Levski Krumovgrad BUL D1

19/09/2024 10:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL D1

13/09/2024 10:00

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3 - 3 FC Hebar Pazardzhik BUL D1

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Bulgaria Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 36 matches

YesNo

20 (56%)16 (44%)

In last 36 matches

NoYes

17 (45%)21 (55%)

Spartak Varna

Recent matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Under /Over

(72%)26 10(28%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

Under /Over

(39%)14 22(61%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

Under /Over

(36%)13 23(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

/Yes

(50%)18 18(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(45%)17 21(55%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Shots

Spartak Varna

Total shots

9.14 avg / game

Blocked

30 total

Avg. 2.31

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Total shots

8.42 avg / game

Blocked

21 total

Avg. 2.33

Spartak Varna Pass Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Spartak Varna

Played games

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.26

4.25

153

Corners

154

4.05

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.81

Offsides

1.76

3.78

136

GK saves

119

3.13

Spartak Varna

DISCIPLINARY

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.58

113

2.97

0.08

0.21

10.42

375

Fouls

525

13.82

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv on 23 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Bulgaria Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Spartak Varna's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lokomotiv Plovdiv's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Bulgaria Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Bulgaria Premier League standings and the Bulgaria Premier League form table to understand exactly where Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Bulgaria Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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