Spain vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 June

Betiball's prediction for Spain vs Italy on 15 June 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Spain vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Spain vs Italy: Starting Lineups Time : 15/06/2023 14:45

Spain
2 - 1
Finished
Italy
88' event Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu
84' event Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu / Alvaro Morata
83' event Alvaro Morata
74' event Fabian Ruiz Pena / Mikel Merino Zazon
74' event Anssumane Fati / Yeremi Pino
68' event Sergio Canales Madrazo / Pablo Martin Paez Gaviria
57' event Pablo Martin Paez Gaviria
46' event Marco Asensio Willemsen / Rodrigo Moreno Machado,Rodri
45+1' event Jordi Alba Ramos
3' event Yeremi Pino
event 90+2' Nicolo Zaniolo
event 76' Marco Verratti / Davide Frattesi
event 61' Bryan Cristante / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
event 60' Federico Chiesa / Ciro Immobile
event 46' Matteo Darmian / Leonardo Bonucci
event 46' Federico Dimarco / Leonardo Spinazzola
event 38' Ciro Immobile
event 21' Davide Frattesi Goal Disallowed
event 11' Ciro Immobile
88' event Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu
event 90+2' Nicolo Zaniolo
84' event Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu / Alvaro Morata
event 76' Marco Verratti / Davide Frattesi
83' event Alvaro Morata
event 61' Bryan Cristante / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
74' event Fabian Ruiz Pena / Mikel Merino Zazon
event 60' Federico Chiesa / Ciro Immobile
74' event Anssumane Fati / Yeremi Pino
event 46' Matteo Darmian / Leonardo Bonucci
68' event Sergio Canales Madrazo / Pablo Martin Paez Gaviria
event 46' Federico Dimarco / Leonardo Spinazzola
57' event Pablo Martin Paez Gaviria
event 38' Ciro Immobile
46' event Marco Asensio Willemsen / Rodrigo Moreno Machado,Rodri
event 21' Davide Frattesi Goal Disallowed
45+1' event Jordi Alba Ramos
event 11' Ciro Immobile
3' event Yeremi Pino
Spain Spain
Substitutions
#11 Sergio Canales Madrazo
#20 Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu
#10 Marco Asensio Willemsen
#8 Fabian Ruiz Pena
#12 Anssumane Fati
#4 Jose Ignacio Fernandez Iglesias Nacho
#2 Daniel Carvajal Ramos
#1 Kepa Arrizabalaga Revuelta
#21 Dani Olmo
#13 David Raya
#5 Martin Zubimendi Ibanez
#17 Fran Garcia
Spain Spain Italy Italy
19Shots8
7Shots on Goal3
24Fouls8
5Corner Kick2
11Free kick23
0Offside3
3Yellow card2
27Aerial23
2Save5
12Successful Tackles13
8Interceptions12
6Shots off goal5
11Head Success14
6Blocked0
12Tackle13
11Dribbles3
7Throw-in8
648Passes391
135Attacks62
54Dangerous attacks23
4Corner Kicks(HT)1
Italy Italy
Substitutions
#5 Matteo Darmian
#6 Marco Verratti
#16 Bryan Cristante
#3 Federico Dimarco
#14 Federico Chiesa
#21 Guglielmo Vicario
#10 Lorenzo Pellegrini
#12 Alex Meret
#23 Alessandro Buongiorno
#9 Mateo Retegui
#22 Giacomo Raspadori
#20 Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
Commentary
90+2' Nicolo Zaniolo - Italy receive a yellow card
88' Goal! Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu - Spain
84' Spain — substitution: Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu / Alvaro Morata
83' Alvaro Morata - Spain receive a yellow card
76' Italy — substitution: Marco Verratti / Davide Frattesi
74' Spain — substitution: Fabian Ruiz Pena / Mikel Merino Zazon
74' Spain — substitution: Anssumane Fati / Yeremi Pino
68' Spain — substitution: Sergio Canales Madrazo / Pablo Martin Paez Gaviria
61' Italy — substitution: Bryan Cristante / Jorge Luiz Frello Filho,Jorginho
60' Italy — substitution: Federico Chiesa / Ciro Immobile
57' Pablo Martin Paez Gaviria - Spain receive a yellow card
46' Spain — substitution: Marco Asensio Willemsen / Rodrigo Moreno Machado,Rodri
46' Italy — substitution: Matteo Darmian / Leonardo Bonucci
46' Italy — substitution: Federico Dimarco / Leonardo Spinazzola
45+1' Jordi Alba Ramos - Spain receive a yellow card
38' Ciro Immobile - Italy receive a yellow card
21' VAR review - Italy
11' Penalty scored! Ciro Immobile - Italy
3' Goal! Yeremi Pino - Spain

How We Build the Spain vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Spain vs Italy on 15 June 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Spain vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Spain's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Spain and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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