Spain vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 June

Spain

L W D L D

1st place in Group B

2-1

15/06/2023 18:45

Italy

W L L W W

1st place in Group C

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Spain vs Italy on 15 June 2023 (kick-off: 18:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Spain vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Spain are currently 1st with 11 points after 6 matches.
Italy sit 1st with 11 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Spain to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Spain, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Italy have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:45

2023-06-15

Spain vs Italy - Prediction & Odds

Spain

Italy

2023-06-15 18:45

STANDINGS UP TO 15/06/2023

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	11	6	3	2	1	8	5	3
02 Portugal	10	6	3	1	2	11	3	8
03 Switzerland	9	6	3	0	3	6	9	-3
04 Czech Republic	4	6	1	1	4	5	13	-8

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Italy	11	6	3	2	1	8	7	1
02 Hungary	10	6	3	1	2	8	5	3
03 Germany	7	6	1	4	1	11	9	2
04 England	3	6	0	3	3	4	10	-6

Head To Head

06/10/2021 18:45

Italy

1 - 2

Spain

UEFA NL

06/07/2021 19:00

Italy

1 - 1

Spain

EURO Cup

02/09/2017 18:45

Spain

3 - 0

Italy

WCPEU

06/10/2016 18:45

Italy

1 - 1

Spain

WCPEU

27/06/2016 15:59

Italy

2 - 0

Spain

EURO Cup

24/03/2016 19:45

Italy

1 - 1

Spain

INT FRL

Spain

33%

Draw

50%

Italy

17%

Spain Last 6 matches

28/03/2023 18:45

Scotland 2 - 0 Spain EURO Cup

25/03/2023 19:45

Spain 3 - 0 Norway EURO Cup

06/12/2022 15:00

Morocco 0 - 0 Spain World Cup

01/12/2022 19:00

Japan 2 - 1 Spain World Cup

27/11/2022 19:00

Spain 1 - 1 Germany World Cup

23/11/2022 15:59

Spain 7 - 0 Costa Rica World Cup

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Italy

26/03/2023 18:45

Malta 0 - 2 Italy EURO Cup

23/03/2023 19:45

Italy 1 - 2 England EURO Cup

20/11/2022 19:45

Austria 2 - 0 Italy INT FRL

16/11/2022 19:45

Albania 1 - 3 Italy INT FRL

26/09/2022 18:45

Hungary 0 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

23/09/2022 18:45

Italy 1 - 0 England UEFA NL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Spain

Italy

Goals

Scored

111

Avg. per game

1.17

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 95 matches

YesNo

66 (69%)29 (31%)

In last 95 matches

NoYes

50 (59%)35 (41%)

Spain

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Spain

Italy

Shots

Spain

Total shots

16.77 avg / game

Blocked

310 total

Avg. 4.31

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Spain Pass Italy

Total passes

53210

Avg. 719 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

68%

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Spain

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.48

Clean sheets

0.47

5.23

497

Corners

425

5.00

13.04

1239

Throw-ins

1131

13.31

1.63

155

Offsides

150

1.76

1.53

145

GK saves

161

1.89

Spain

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.22

116

122

1.44

0.02

0.05

10.00

950

Fouls

830

9.76

9.32

885

Tackles

825

9.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Spain vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Spain vs Italy on 15 June 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Spain vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Spain's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Spain and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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