Southampton vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Betiball's prediction for Southampton vs Derby County on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Southampton vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Southampton vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 11/04/2026 10:00

Southampton
2 - 1
Finished
Derby County
90+2' event Cyle Larin
87' event Nathan Wood-Gordon / James Bree
76' event Shea Charles / Finn Azaz
75' event Samuel Ikechukwu Edozie / Leo Scienza
69' event Taylor Harwood-Bellis
64' event Cyle Larin / Ross Stewart
64' event Kuryu Matsuki / Tom Fellows
62' event Leo Scienza
event 84' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Lewis Travis
event 67' Owen Eames / Jaydon Banel
event 67' Sondre Klingen Langas / David Ozoh
event 67' Craig Forsyth / Max Johnston
event 55' Oscar Luigi Fraulo
event 53' Dion Sanderson
event 38' Carlton Morris
event 9' Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Bobby Clark
90+2' event Cyle Larin
event 84' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Lewis Travis
87' event Nathan Wood-Gordon / James Bree
event 67' Owen Eames / Jaydon Banel
76' event Shea Charles / Finn Azaz
event 67' Sondre Klingen Langas / David Ozoh
75' event Samuel Ikechukwu Edozie / Leo Scienza
event 67' Craig Forsyth / Max Johnston
69' event Taylor Harwood-Bellis
event 55' Oscar Luigi Fraulo
64' event Cyle Larin / Ross Stewart
event 53' Dion Sanderson
64' event Kuryu Matsuki / Tom Fellows
event 38' Carlton Morris
62' event Leo Scienza
event 9' Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Bobby Clark
Southampton Southampton
Substitutions
#9 Cyle Larin
#27 Kuryu Matsuki
#23 Samuel Ikechukwu Edozie
#15 Nathan Wood-Gordon
#24 Shea Charles
#34 Wellington Santos
#19 Cameron Archer
#25 George Long
#48 Cameron Bragg
Southampton Southampton Derby County Derby County
15Shots9
5Shots on Goal4
8Fouls14
6Corner Kick2
14Free kick8
1Offside1
1Yellow card2
1Aerial19
3Save3
21Successful Tackles20
7Interceptions8
35Long pass30
2Assist0
6Successful center3
7Shots off goal2
14Head Success12
3Blocked3
16Tackle14
8Dribbles5
14Throw-in19
460Passes290
104Attacks83
84Dangerous attacks31
4Corner Kicks(HT)1
2BigChances1
1BigChancesMissed0
12ShotsInsideBox6
3ShotsOutsideBox3
54DuelsWon49
1.64ExpectedGoals0.91
1.27xGOpenPlay0.5
1.64xGNonPenalty0.91
1.68xGOT1.31
38Touches In Opposition Box17
34AccurateCrosses17
42GroundDuelsWon35
12AerialDuelsWon14
30Clearances30
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#29 Oscar Luigi Fraulo
#3 Craig Forsyth
#15 Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
#6 Sondre Klingen Langas
#37 Owen Eames
#4 Danny Batth
#31 Josh Vickers
#54 Cruz Allen
#44 Isaac Gordon
Commentary
90+2' Cyle Larin - Southampton receive a yellow card
87' Southampton — substitution: Nathan Wood-Gordon / James Bree
84' Derby County — substitution: Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Lewis Travis
76' Southampton — substitution: Shea Charles / Finn Azaz
75' Southampton — substitution: Samuel Ikechukwu Edozie / Leo Scienza
69' Goal! Taylor Harwood-Bellis - Southampton
67' Derby County — substitution: Owen Eames / Jaydon Banel
67' Derby County — substitution: Sondre Klingen Langas / David Ozoh
67' Derby County — substitution: Craig Forsyth / Max Johnston
64' Southampton — substitution: Cyle Larin / Ross Stewart
64' Southampton — substitution: Kuryu Matsuki / Tom Fellows
62' Goal! Leo Scienza - Southampton
55' Oscar Luigi Fraulo - Derby County receive a yellow card
53' Dion Sanderson - Derby County receive a yellow card
38' Goal! Carlton Morris - Derby County
9' Derby County — substitution: Oscar Luigi Fraulo / Bobby Clark

How We Build the Southampton vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Southampton vs Derby County on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Southampton vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Southampton's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Southampton and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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