South Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 May

South Melbourne

W W W L L

2nd place in VIC Premier League

2-1

14/05/2023 02:00

North Geelong Warriors

L L D L L

14th place in VIC Premier League

VIC Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for South Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors on 14 May 2023 (kick-off: 02:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full South Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors preview before placing your bet.

South Melbourne will face North Geelong Warriors in VIC Premier League on May 14, 2023 at 02:00.
South Melbourne are currently 2nd with 62 points after 26 matches.
North Geelong Warriors sit 14th with 14 points from 26 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 3 - 1 and average coefficient 1.11.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

02:00

2023-05-14

South Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors - Prediction & Odds

South Melbourne

North Geelong Warriors

2023-05-14 02:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Avondale FC	67	26	21	4	1	78	23	55
02 South Melbourne	62	26	20	2	4	54	21	33
03 Oakleigh Cannons	58	26	18	4	4	64	25	39
04 Melbourne Knights	47	26	14	5	7	51	35	16
05 Port Melbourne	45	26	13	6	7	53	34	19
06 Altona Magic	41	26	13	2	11	48	53	-5
07 Green Gully Cavaliers	40	26	13	1	12	53	40	13
08 Dandenong Thunder	33	26	10	3	13	49	48	1
09 Heidelberg United	31	26	8	7	11	31	46	-15
10 Hume City	28	26	7	7	12	37	41	-4
11 St Albans Saints	22	26	6	4	16	24	53	-29
12 Moreland City	16	26	4	4	18	26	69	-43
13 Bentleigh greens	15	26	4	3	19	24	51	-27
14 North Geelong Warriors	14	26	4	2	20	18	71	-53

Head To Head

08/07/2017 01:00

North Geelong Warriors

1 - 5

South Melbourne

AUS VPL

09/04/2017 02:00

South Melbourne

2 - 1

North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

06/01/2017 20:25

South Melbourne

5 - 1

North Geelong Warriors

INT CF

01/06/2016 05:30

North Geelong Warriors

0 - 2

South Melbourne

A FFA Cup

29/05/2015 06:30

South Melbourne

7 - 1

North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

28/02/2015 02:00

North Geelong Warriors

0 - 3

South Melbourne

AUS VPL

North Geelong Warriors

50%

Draw

South Melbourne

50%

South Melbourne Last 6 matches

07/05/2023 02:00

South Melbourne 3 - 0 Avondale FC

AUS VPL

30/04/2023 02:00

South Melbourne 5 - 1 Altona Magic

AUS VPL

24/04/2023 05:30

South Melbourne 5 - 2 Port Melbourne

AUS VPL

15/04/2023 01:30

South Melbourne 1 - 0 Bentleigh greens

AUS VPL

11/04/2023 06:15

South Melbourne 3 - 4 Kingston City

A FFA Cup

08/04/2023 04:30

Hume City 0 - 0 South Melbourne

AUS VPL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches North Geelong Warriors

09/05/2023 06:00

North Geelong Warriors 2 - 2 Chisholm United

A FFA Cup

05/05/2023 06:30

Oakleigh Cannons 5 - 0 North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

29/04/2023 01:00

North Geelong Warriors 1 - 0 St Albans Saints

AUS VPL

21/04/2023 05:30

Heidelberg United 1 - 1 North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

15/04/2023 01:00

North Geelong Warriors 1 - 2 Dandenong Thunder

AUS VPL

10/04/2023 02:00

Melbourne Knights 3 - 2 North Geelong Warriors

AUS VPL

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues VIC Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

South Melbourne

North Geelong Warriors

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

Avg. per game

0.38

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.19

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 28 matches

YesNo

19 (68%)9 (32%)

In last 28 matches

NoYes

9 (35%)17 (65%)

South Melbourne

Recent matches

North Geelong Warriors

Under /Over

(79%)22 6(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(85%)22 4(15%)

Under /Over

(25%)7 21(75%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(65%)17 9(35%)

Under /Over

(57%)16 12(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)13 13(50%)

/Yes

(46%)13 15(54%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)11 15(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

South Melbourne

North Geelong Warriors

Shots

South Melbourne

Total shots

9.14 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

North Geelong Warriors

Total shots

5.54 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

South Melbourne Pass North Geelong Warriors

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

South Melbourne

2157

Avg. 77.04 / game

North Geelong Warriors

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

North Geelong Warriors

1375

Avg. 52.88 / game

OTHERS

South Melbourne

Played games

North Geelong Warriors

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

Clean sheets

0.12

5.71

160

Corners

3.23

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

South Melbourne

DISCIPLINARY

North Geelong Warriors

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.18

2.15

0.11

0.08

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Melbourne Heart (Youth)

Caroline Springs George Cross

South Melbourne

AUS

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

North Geelong Warriors

North Geelong Warriors

AUS

08/22

North Geelong Warriors

Western United FC NPL

AUS

08/30

Langwarrin

North Geelong Warriors

AUS

How We Build the South Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for South Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors on 14 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this VIC Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

South Melbourne vs North Geelong Warriors Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess South Melbourne's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against North Geelong Warriors's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

VIC Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live VIC Premier League standings and the VIC Premier League form table to understand exactly where South Melbourne and North Geelong Warriors sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our VIC Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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