Senegal vs Malawi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Senegal

W D W D W

1st place in Group L

4-0

11/10/2024 15:00

Malawi

L L L W L

4th place in Group L

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Senegal vs Malawi on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Senegal vs Malawi preview before placing your bet.

Senegal are currently 1st with 16 points after 6 matches.
Malawi sit 4th with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Senegal to win with probability 75%.
Head-to-head history favors Senegal, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Malawi have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

HT/FT Probability

Pred
HT

Pred
FT

Correct

Coef.

Score.

Weather

15:00

2024-10-11

Senegal vs Malawi - Prediction & Odds

Senegal

Malawi

2024-10-11 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024

Group L	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	16	6	5	1	0	10	1	9
02 Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	2	10	7	3
03 Burundi	4	6	1	1	4	4	11	-7
04 Malawi	4	6	1	1	4	6	11	-5

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	7	3	2	1	0	7	1	6
02 Democratic Rep Congo	7	3	2	1	0	5	1	4
03 Benin	3	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3
04 Botswana	0	3	0	0	3	0	7	-7

Head To Head

18/01/2022 11:59

Malawi

0 - 0

Senegal

CAF NC

14/07/2021 06:00

Senegal

2 - 1

Malawi

COSAFA Cup

Senegal

50%

Draw

50%

Malawi

Senegal Last 6 matches

09/09/2024 09:00

Burundi 0 - 1 Senegal CAF NC

06/09/2024 15:00

Senegal 1 - 1 Burkina Faso CAF NC

09/06/2024 11:59

Mauritania 0 - 1 Senegal WCPAF

06/06/2024 15:00

Senegal 1 - 1 Democratic Rep Congo WCPAF

26/03/2024 15:30

Benin 0 - 1 Senegal INT FRL

22/03/2024 15:30

Senegal 3 - 0 Gabon INT FRL

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Malawi

10/09/2024 15:00

Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Malawi CAF NC

05/09/2024 09:00

Malawi 2 - 3 Burundi CAF NC

10/06/2024 09:00

Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi WCPAF

06/06/2024 09:00

Malawi 3 - 1 Sao Tome Principe WCPAF

26/03/2024 08:00

Malawi 1 - 2 Zambia INT FRL

23/03/2024 11:20

Malawi 0 - 4 Kenya INT FRL

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Played games

Senegal

Malawi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.69

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.23

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.83

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 13 matches

YesNo

12 (92%)1 (8%)

In last 13 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

Senegal

Recent matches

Malawi

Under /Over

(54%)7 6(46%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

Under /Over

(8%)1 12(92%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)2 4(67%)

Under /Over

(31%)4 9(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

/Yes

(23%)3 10(77%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Senegal

Malawi

Shots

Senegal

Total shots

17.15 avg / game

Blocked

36 total

Avg. 4.50

Malawi

Total shots

9.83 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 2.50

Senegal Pass Malawi

Total passes

6644

Avg. 511 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

64%

Total passes

1978

Avg. 330 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

42%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Senegal

Played games

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.77

Clean sheets

0.33

7.54

Corners

3.33

19.38

252

Throw-ins

16.50

1.62

Offsides

1.67

1.92

GK saves

3.83

Senegal

DISCIPLINARY

Malawi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

2.00

0.08

0.17

15.62

203

Fouls

13.33

9.85

128

Tackles

12.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Senegal vs Malawi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Senegal vs Malawi on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Senegal vs Malawi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Senegal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malawi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Senegal and Malawi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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