Senegal vs Malawi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Senegal
WDWDW
1st place in Group L
1
4-0
FT
11/10/2024 15:00
Malawi
LLLWL
4th place in Group L
African Nations Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Senegal vs Malawi on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Senegal vs Malawi preview before placing your bet.

  • Senegal are currently 1st with 16 points after 6 matches.
  • Malawi sit 4th with 4 points from 6 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Senegal to win with probability 75%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Senegal, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Malawi have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2024-10-11

Senegal vs Malawi - Prediction & Odds

Senegal
Senegal
Malawi
Malawi
2024-10-11 15:00
75
16
9
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.18
FT
4-0 1-0
-
weather
27℃～28℃
STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024
Group L PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Senegal Senegal
16 6 5 1 0 10 1 9
02 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
10 6 3 1 2 10 7 3
03 Burundi Burundi
4 6 1 1 4 4 11 -7
04 Malawi Malawi
4 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5
Group D PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Senegal Senegal
7 3 2 1 0 7 1 6
02 Democratic Rep Congo Democratic Rep Congo
7 3 2 1 0 5 1 4
03 Benin Benin
3 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3
04 Botswana Botswana
0 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7
Head To Head
18/01/2022 11:59
Malawi Malawi
0 - 0
Senegal Senegal
CAF NC
14/07/2021 06:00
Senegal Senegal
2 - 1
Malawi Malawi
COSAFA Cup
Senegal
1
50%
Draw
1
50%
Malawi
0
0%
Senegal Senegal Last 6 matches
09/09/2024 09:00
Burundi 0 - 1 Senegal CAF NC
06/09/2024 15:00
Senegal 1 - 1 Burkina Faso CAF NC
09/06/2024 11:59
Mauritania 0 - 1 Senegal WCPAF
06/06/2024 15:00
Senegal 1 - 1 Democratic Rep Congo WCPAF
26/03/2024 15:30
Benin 0 - 1 Senegal INT FRL
22/03/2024 15:30
Senegal 3 - 0 Gabon INT FRL
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Malawi Malawi
10/09/2024 15:00
Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Malawi CAF NC
05/09/2024 09:00
Malawi 2 - 3 Burundi CAF NC
10/06/2024 09:00
Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi WCPAF
06/06/2024 09:00
Malawi 3 - 1 Sao Tome Principe WCPAF
26/03/2024 08:00
Malawi 1 - 2 Zambia INT FRL
23/03/2024 11:20
Malawi 0 - 4 Kenya INT FRL
Win
17%
Draw
0%
Lost
83%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Senegal
Senegal
114
 Malawi
Malawi
78
Goals
Scored
110
Avg. per game
0.96
Conceded
44
Avg. per game
0.39
Scored
38
Avg. per game
0.49
Conceded
49
Avg. per game
0.63
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
0 (0%)6 (100%)
In last 114 matches
YesNo
71 (62%)43 (38%)
In last 114 matches
NoYes
27 (35%)51 (65%)
Senegal

Senegal

Recent matches

Malawi

Malawi

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Senegal Senegal
Malawi Malawi
Shots
Senegal
Senegal
Total shots
12.29 avg / game
Blocked
125 total
Avg. 3.29
Malawi
Malawi
Total shots
8.20 avg / game
Blocked
17 total
Avg. 1.89
Senegal Senegal Pass Malawi Malawi
Total passes
21059
Avg. 421 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
56%
Total passes
3912
Avg. 245 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
46%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Senegal
Senegal
10170
Avg. 89.21 / game
 Malawi
Malawi
5191
Avg. 66.55 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Senegal
Senegal
6218
Avg. 54.54 / game
 Malawi
Malawi
3009
Avg. 38.58 / game
OTHERS
Senegal
Senegal
114
Played games
Malawi
Malawi
78
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.52
59
Clean sheets
29
0.37
5.09
580
Corners
242
3.10
6.82
777
Throw-ins
178
2.28
0.97
111
Offsides
48
0.62
1.12
128
GK saves
78
1.00
Senegal
Senegal
DISCIPLINARY
Malawi
Malawi
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.55
177
Yellow card
91
1.17
0.03
3
Red card
3
0.04
7.25
827
Fouls
346
4.44
4.81
548
Tackles
172
2.21
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How We Build the Senegal vs Malawi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Senegal vs Malawi on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Senegal vs Malawi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Senegal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malawi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Senegal and Malawi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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