Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Sarmiento Junin

D D W L D

24th place in League

1-1

03/05/2025 15:00

San Lorenzo

D W W D L

9th place in League

Argentine Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo on 03 May 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo preview before placing your bet.

Sarmiento Junin are currently 24th with 15 points after 16 matches.
San Lorenzo sit 9th with 27 points from 16 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 33%.
Head-to-head history favors San Lorenzo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Sarmiento Junin have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-05-03

Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo - Prediction & Odds

Sarmiento Junin

San Lorenzo

2025-05-03 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Rosario Central	35	16	10	5	1	22	8	14
02 Argentinos Juniors	33	16	9	6	1	24	9	15
03 Boca Juniors	33	16	10	3	3	24	11	13
04 River Plate	31	16	8	7	1	21	9	12
05 Independiente	29	16	8	5	3	23	12	11
06 Racing Club	28	16	9	1	6	26	16	10
07 CA Huracan	27	16	7	6	3	19	12	7
08 Club Atletico Tigre	27	16	8	3	5	18	12	6
09 San Lorenzo	27	16	7	6	3	14	10	4
10 Independiente Rivadavia	27	16	7	6	3	20	17	3
11 Barracas Central	26	16	7	5	4	20	18	2
12 Deportivo Riestra	24	16	5	9	2	13	7	6
13 CA Platense	23	16	6	5	5	13	11	2
14 Estudiantes La Plata	21	16	5	6	5	18	19	-1
15 Lanus	20	16	4	8	4	13	11	2
16 Newells Old Boys	19	16	5	4	7	12	15	-3
17 Defensa Y Justicia	19	16	5	4	7	18	22	-4
18 Central Cordoba SDE	18	16	5	3	8	21	22	-1
19 Instituto AC Cordoba	18	16	5	3	8	16	20	-4
20 Belgrano	17	16	3	8	5	13	23	-10
21 Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba	17	16	3	8	5	8	18	-10
22 Atletico Tucuman	16	16	5	1	10	17	21	-4
23 Gimnasia La Plata	16	16	4	4	8	9	18	-9
24 Sarmiento Junin	15	16	2	9	5	11	19	-8
25 Aldosivi Mar del Plata	15	16	4	3	9	18	28	-10
26 Banfield	14	16	3	5	8	14	19	-5
27 Club Atlético Unión	14	16	3	5	8	11	17	-6
28 Velez Sarsfield	14	16	4	2	10	7	22	-15
29 Talleres Cordoba	13	16	2	7	7	11	15	-4
30 San Martin San Juan	9	16	2	3	11	5	18	-13

2nd Stage	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Rosario Central	31	16	8	7	1	18	8	10
02 Lanus	30	16	9	3	4	20	13	7
03 Boca Juniors	29	16	8	5	3	28	12	16
04 Deportivo Riestra	28	16	8	4	4	19	12	7
05 Velez Sarsfield	26	16	7	5	4	19	12	7
06 Club Atlético Unión	25	16	6	7	3	20	13	7
07 Racing Club	25	16	7	4	5	16	13	3
08 Central Cordoba SDE	24	16	5	9	2	17	11	6
09 Argentinos Juniors	24	16	7	3	6	18	13	5
10 San Lorenzo	24	16	6	6	4	13	11	2
11 Barracas Central	23	16	5	8	3	19	17	2
12 River Plate	22	16	6	4	6	20	15	5
13 Club Atletico Tigre	22	16	5	7	4	14	13	1
14 Gimnasia La Plata	22	16	7	1	8	14	16	-2
15 Estudiantes La Plata	21	16	6	3	7	17	18	-1
16 Talleres Cordoba	21	16	5	6	5	9	12	-3
17 Banfield	21	16	6	3	7	15	21	-6
18 Belgrano	20	16	4	8	4	13	11	2
19 Sarmiento Junin	20	16	5	5	6	13	17	-4
20 CA Huracan	20	16	5	5	6	10	15	-5
21 San Martin San Juan	19	16	4	7	5	13	16	-3
22 Defensa Y Justicia	19	16	5	4	7	14	19	-5
23 Independiente	18	16	4	6	6	14	13	1
24 Atletico Tucuman	18	16	5	3	8	17	22	-5
25 Aldosivi Mar del Plata	18	16	5	3	8	13	18	-5
26 Independiente Rivadavia	16	16	3	7	6	14	17	-3
27 Instituto AC Cordoba	16	16	3	7	6	9	17	-8
28 Newells Old Boys	14	16	3	5	8	13	23	-10
29 Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba	12	16	1	9	6	11	19	-8
30 CA Platense	12	16	2	6	8	12	25	-13

Head To Head

03/06/2024 18:00

San Lorenzo

0 - 1

Sarmiento Junin

ARG D1

16/03/2024 16:00

San Lorenzo

1 - 0

Sarmiento Junin

ARG D1

30/10/2023 18:00

Sarmiento Junin

0 - 0

San Lorenzo

ARG D1

20/02/2023 18:15

Sarmiento Junin

0 - 1

San Lorenzo

ARG D1

17/10/2022 20:30

Sarmiento Junin

2 - 4

San Lorenzo

ARG D1

08/04/2022 20:30

Sarmiento Junin

2 - 1

San Lorenzo

ARG D1

Sarmiento Junin

33%

Draw

17%

San Lorenzo

50%

Sarmiento Junin Last 6 matches

20/04/2025 17:00

Sarmiento Junin 0 - 1 CA Platense ARG D1

14/04/2025 20:15

Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Sarmiento Junin ARG D1

09/04/2025 20:10

Sarmiento Junin 0 - 1 Central Cordoba De Rosario ARG C

05/04/2025 19:30

Sarmiento Junin 1 - 1 River Plate ARG D1

30/03/2025 15:00

Gimnasia La Plata 0 - 0 Sarmiento Junin ARG D1

15/03/2025 20:00

Sarmiento Junin 0 - 0 Talleres Cordoba ARG D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches San Lorenzo

26/04/2025 16:00

San Lorenzo 0 - 1 Rosario Central ARG D1

20/04/2025 14:30

Deportivo Riestra 0 - 0 San Lorenzo ARG D1

12/04/2025 14:30

San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Atletico Tucuman ARG D1

04/04/2025 21:00

San Martin San Juan 0 - 1 San Lorenzo ARG D1

28/03/2025 18:15

San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Lanus ARG D1

23/03/2025 18:15

San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Sportivo Las Parejas ARG C

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Argentine Division 1

Played games

Goals

Scored

188

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

264

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

283

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

260

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 228 matches

YesNo

131 (57%)97 (43%)

In last 228 matches

NoYes

189 (64%)106 (36%)

Sarmiento Junin

Recent matches

San Lorenzo

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

/Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sarmiento Junin

San Lorenzo

Shots

Sarmiento Junin

Total shots

9.40 avg / game

Blocked

347 total

Avg. 2.44

San Lorenzo

Total shots

9.82 avg / game

Blocked

449 total

Avg. 2.66

Sarmiento Junin Pass San Lorenzo

Total passes

54417

Avg. 272 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

42%

Total passes

77735

Avg. 337 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sarmiento Junin

228

Played games

San Lorenzo

295

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

125

0.42

3.79

864

Corners

1292

4.38

13.16

3000

Throw-ins

3389

11.49

1.47

336

Offsides

432

1.46

3.16

720

GK saves

656

2.22

Sarmiento Junin

DISCIPLINARY

San Lorenzo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

564

673

2.28

0.11

0.15

11.70

2668

Fouls

3399

11.52

12.83

2925

Tackles

3542

12.01

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Sarmiento Junin

Independiente Rivadavia

NEXT MATCHES

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

How We Build the Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo on 03 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Argentine Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sarmiento Junin vs San Lorenzo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sarmiento Junin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against San Lorenzo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Argentine Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Argentine Division 1 standings and the Argentine Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Sarmiento Junin and San Lorenzo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Argentine Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Argentine Division 1 Predictions

Find every upcoming Argentine Division 1 fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less