Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 October

Sao Paulo

W D D L L

6th place in Brazil Serie A

3-0

17/10/2024 00:45

Vasco da Gama

L L L D W

10th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama on 17 October 2024 (kick-off: 00:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo are currently 6th with 59 points after 38 matches.
Vasco da Gama sit 10th with 50 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sao Paulo to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Sao Paulo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Vasco da Gama have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

00:45

2024-10-17

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Vasco da Gama

2024-10-17 00:45

STANDINGS UP TO 17/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Botafogo RJ	79	38	23	10	5	59	29	30
02 Palmeiras	73	38	22	7	9	60	33	27
03 Flamengo	70	38	20	10	8	61	42	19
04 Fortaleza	68	38	19	11	8	53	39	14
05 Internacional RS	65	38	18	11	9	53	36	17
06 Sao Paulo	59	38	17	8	13	53	43	10
07 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	56	38	15	11	12	54	45	9
08 Bahia	53	38	15	8	15	49	49	0
09 Cruzeiro	52	38	14	10	14	43	41	2
10 Vasco da Gama	50	38	14	8	16	43	56	-13
11 Vitoria BA	47	38	13	8	17	45	52	-7
12 Atletico Mineiro	47	38	11	14	13	47	54	-7
13 Fluminense RJ	46	38	12	10	16	33	39	-6
14 Gremio (RS)	45	38	12	9	17	44	50	-6
15 Juventude	45	38	11	12	15	48	59	-11
16 Bragantino	44	38	10	14	14	44	48	-4
17 Atletico Paranaense	42	38	11	9	18	40	46	-6
18 Criciuma	38	38	9	11	18	42	61	-19
19 Atletico Clube Goianiense	30	38	7	9	22	29	58	-29
20 Cuiaba	30	38	6	12	20	29	49	-20

Head To Head

23/06/2024 00:30

Vasco da Gama

4 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

07/10/2023 21:30

Vasco da Gama

0 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

20/05/2023 21:30

Sao Paulo

4 - 2

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

05/08/2021 00:30

Vasco da Gama

1 - 2

Sao Paulo

Copa do Brasil

29/07/2021 00:30

Sao Paulo

2 - 0

Vasco da Gama

Copa do Brasil

22/11/2020 19:00

Sao Paulo

1 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

Sao Paulo

50%

Draw

33%

Vasco da Gama

17%

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

05/10/2024 22:00

Cuiaba 2 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA D1

29/09/2024 19:00

Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) BRA D1

26/09/2024 00:30

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Botafogo RJ CON CLA

22/09/2024 21:30

Sao Paulo 1 - 3 Internacional RS BRA D1

19/09/2024 00:30

Botafogo RJ 0 - 0 Sao Paulo CON CLA

15/09/2024 21:30

Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Vasco da Gama

06/10/2024 00:00

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Juventude BRA D1

02/10/2024 22:15

Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil

29/09/2024 21:30

Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

22/09/2024 19:00

Vasco da Gama 0 - 1 Palmeiras BRA D1

15/09/2024 21:30

Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

12/09/2024 00:30

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Sao Paulo

Vasco da Gama

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.26

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

17 (89%)2 (11%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

15 (79%)4 (21%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Vasco da Gama

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Vasco da Gama

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

9.84 avg / game

Blocked

40 total

Avg. 2.22

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

12.21 avg / game

Blocked

48 total

Avg. 3.20

Sao Paulo Pass Vasco da Gama

Total passes

7841

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

7653

Avg. 403 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

Played games

Vasco da Gama

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.32

4.58

Corners

3.74

16.32

310

Throw-ins

372

19.58

1.37

Offsides

1.21

1.84

GK saves

3.58

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Vasco da Gama

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

2.42

0.00

0.11

9.84

187

Fouls

241

12.68

12.26

233

Tackles

339

17.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Dep.Independiente Medellin

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama on 17 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vasco da Gama's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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