Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Sao Paulo

L L W L W

8th place in Brazil Serie A

2-1

17/05/2025 20:00

Gremio (RS)

D W L W L

9th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 17 May 2025 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo are currently 8th with 51 points after 38 matches.
Gremio (RS) sit 9th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sao Paulo to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Sao Paulo and Gremio (RS) have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2025-05-17

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

2025-05-17 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

01/12/2024 15:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

17/07/2024 19:00

Sao Paulo

1 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

21/10/2023 17:30

Sao Paulo

3 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

04/06/2023 15:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

02/12/2021 19:00

Gremio (RS)

3 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

14/08/2021 20:00

Sao Paulo

2 - 1

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

Sao Paulo

50%

Draw

Gremio (RS)

50%

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

14/05/2025 20:30

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Clud Libertad CON CLA

11/05/2025 16:30

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA D1

06/05/2025 18:00

Alianza Lima 0 - 2 Sao Paulo CON CLA

02/05/2025 20:30

Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Fortaleza BRA D1

29/04/2025 20:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Nautico (PE) Copa do Brasil

26/04/2025 17:30

Ceara 1 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Gremio (RS)

13/05/2025 18:00

Gremio (RS) 1 - 1 Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba CON CSA

10/05/2025 17:30

Gremio (RS) 1 - 1 Bragantino BRA D1

07/05/2025 20:30

Atletico Grau 0 - 0 Gremio (RS) CON CSA

04/05/2025 15:00

Gremio (RS) 1 - 0 Santos BRA D1

30/04/2025 20:30

Centro Sportivo Alagoano 3 - 2 Gremio (RS) Copa do Brasil

27/04/2025 17:30

Vitoria BA 1 - 1 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Goals

Scored

393

Avg. per game

1.31

Conceded

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Scored

439

Avg. per game

1.46

Conceded

316

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

220 (73%)80 (27%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

224 (75%)76 (25%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Gremio (RS)

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

655 total

Avg. 3.13

Gremio (RS)

Total shots

11.13 avg / game

Blocked

513 total

Avg. 3.02

Sao Paulo Pass Gremio (RS)

Total passes

114258

Avg. 423 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

83253

Avg. 364 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

300

Played games

Gremio (RS)

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

112

Clean sheets

101

0.34

4.93

1480

Corners

1405

4.68

12.36

3709

Throw-ins

3176

10.59

1.34

402

Offsides

293

0.98

2.09

628

GK saves

639

2.13

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

585

591

1.97

0.09

0.12

11.07

3320

Fouls

2795

9.32

10.88

3264

Tackles

3042

10.14

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 17 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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