Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 October

Sao Paulo

D L D W L

11th place in Brazil Serie A

3-0

21/10/2023 17:30

Gremio (RS)

W L L W W

2nd place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 21 October 2023 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Sao Paulo are currently 11th with 53 points after 38 matches.
Gremio (RS) sit 2nd with 68 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sao Paulo to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Gremio (RS), who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2023-10-21

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

2023-10-21 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 21/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	70	38	20	10	8	64	33	31
02 Gremio (RS)	68	38	21	5	12	63	56	7
03 Atletico Mineiro	66	38	19	9	10	52	32	20
04 Flamengo	66	38	19	9	10	56	42	14
05 Botafogo RJ	64	38	18	10	10	58	37	21
06 Bragantino	62	38	17	11	10	49	35	14
07 Atletico Paranaense	56	38	14	14	10	51	43	8
08 Fluminense RJ	56	38	16	8	14	51	47	4
09 Internacional RS	55	38	15	10	13	46	45	1
10 Fortaleza	54	38	15	9	14	45	44	1
11 Sao Paulo	53	38	14	11	13	40	38	2
12 Cuiaba	51	38	14	9	15	40	39	1
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	50	38	12	14	12	47	48	-1
14 Cruzeiro	47	38	11	14	13	35	32	3
15 Vasco da Gama	45	38	12	9	17	41	51	-10
16 Bahia	44	38	12	8	18	50	53	-3
17 Santos	43	38	11	10	17	39	64	-25
18 Goias	38	38	9	11	18	36	53	-17
19 Coritiba PR	30	38	8	6	24	41	73	-32
20 America MG	24	38	5	9	24	42	81	-39

Head To Head

04/06/2023 15:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

02/12/2021 19:00

Gremio (RS)

3 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

14/08/2021 20:00

Sao Paulo

2 - 1

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

14/02/2021 19:30

Gremio (RS)

1 - 2

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

30/12/2020 20:30

Sao Paulo

0 - 0

Gremio (RS)

Copa do Brasil

23/12/2020 20:30

Gremio (RS)

1 - 0

Sao Paulo

Copa do Brasil

Sao Paulo

33%

Draw

17%

Gremio (RS)

50%

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

18/10/2023 20:30

Goias 2 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA D1

07/10/2023 17:30

Vasco da Gama 0 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA D1

30/09/2023 17:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) BRA D1

27/09/2023 18:15

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Coritiba PR BRA D1

24/09/2023 15:00

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Flamengo Copa do Brasil

20/09/2023 20:30

Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Fortaleza BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Gremio (RS)

18/10/2023 18:00

Gremio (RS) 1 - 2 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

08/10/2023 15:00

Internacional RS 3 - 2 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

30/09/2023 15:00

Fortaleza 1 - 1 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

21/09/2023 20:30

Gremio (RS) 1 - 0 Palmeiras BRA D1

18/09/2023 20:00

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 4 - 4 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

14/09/2023 20:30

Bragantino 2 - 0 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

1.79

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

14 (74%)5 (26%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

16 (84%)3 (16%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Gremio (RS)

Under /Over

(63%)12 7(37%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(63%)12 7(37%)

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

/Yes

(37%)7 12(63%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Gremio (RS)

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

15.42 avg / game

Blocked

67 total

Avg. 4.19

Gremio (RS)

Total shots

14.11 avg / game

Blocked

59 total

Avg. 3.69

Sao Paulo Pass Gremio (RS)

Total passes

9251

Avg. 487 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

7607

Avg. 400 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

Played games

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.53

Clean sheets

0.42

6.05

115

Corners

107

5.63

20.11

382

Throw-ins

392

20.63

2.37

Offsides

1.63

2.00

GK saves

3.37

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.32

2.58

0.05

0.21

14.00

266

Fouls

234

12.32

12.95

246

Tackles

341

17.95

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) on 21 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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