Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 03

Sao Paulo

L L D L L

12th place in Brazil Serie A

2-2

03/05/2026 15:00

Bahia

L W W D D

5th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Bahia on May 03, 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Paulo vs Bahia preview before placing for you.

Sao Paulo are currently 12th with 26 points after 20 matches.
Bahia sit 5th with 32 points from 21 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sao Paulo to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Sao Paulo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Bahia have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-05-03

Sao Paulo vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Sao Paulo

Bahia

2026-05-03 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

25/10/2025 20:30

Sao Paulo

2 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

31/05/2025 17:30

Bahia

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

05/11/2024 20:30

Bahia

0 - 3

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

30/06/2024 15:00

Sao Paulo

3 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

29/11/2023 19:00

Bahia

0 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

30/07/2023 10:00

Sao Paulo

0 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

Sao Paulo

67%

Draw

17%

Bahia

17%

Sao Paulo Last 6 matches

25/04/2026 20:00

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Mirassol BRA D1

21/04/2026 18:15

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Juventude Copa do Brasil

18/04/2026 17:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA D1

14/04/2026 18:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 O.Higgins CON CSA

11/04/2026 15:30

Vitoria BA 2 - 0 Sao Paulo BRA D1

07/04/2026 20:30

Boston River 0 - 1 Sao Paulo CON CSA

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bahia

25/04/2026 17:30

Bahia 2 - 2 Santos BRA D1

22/04/2026 18:00

Bahia 1 - 3 Remo Belem (PA) Copa do Brasil

19/04/2026 18:30

Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia BRA D1

11/04/2026 17:30

Mirassol 1 - 2 Bahia BRA D1

05/04/2026 18:30

Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras BRA D1

01/04/2026 19:00

Bahia 3 - 0 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

208

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

155 (52%)145 (48%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

154 (51%)146 (49%)

Sao Paulo

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Paulo

Bahia

Shots

Sao Paulo

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

655 total

Avg. 3.13

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Sao Paulo Pass Bahia

Total passes

114258

Avg. 423 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Paulo

300

Played games

Bahia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

112

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.93

1480

Corners

1537

5.12

12.36

3709

Throw-ins

2481

8.27

1.34

402

Offsides

280

0.93

2.09

628

GK saves

545

1.82

Sao Paulo

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

585

563

1.88

0.09

0.09

11.07

3320

Fouls

2444

8.15

10.88

3264

Tackles

2632

8.77

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Bahia on 03 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Paulo vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Paulo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Sao Paulo and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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