Santos Laguna vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 July

Santos Laguna

L W D W L

11th place in Clausura

2-4

17/07/2025 03:00

Toluca

W W D D D

1st place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Santos Laguna vs Toluca on 17 July 2025 (kick-off: 03:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Santos Laguna vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Santos Laguna are currently 11th with 20 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Santos Laguna have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

03:00

2025-07-17

Santos Laguna vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Santos Laguna

Toluca

2025-07-17 03:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/07/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

07/04/2025 00:00

Toluca

2 - 1

Santos Laguna

MEX D1

23/09/2024 01:05

Santos Laguna

2 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

22/02/2024 01:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Santos Laguna

MEX D1

06/11/2023 00:05

Santos Laguna

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

24/02/2023 02:05

Santos Laguna

0 - 5

Toluca

MEX D1

17/10/2022 00:05

Santos Laguna

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

Santos Laguna

33%

Draw

Toluca

67%

Santos Laguna Last 6 matches

13/07/2025 01:00

Santos Laguna 3 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

29/06/2025 22:00

CDSyC Cruz Azul 2 - 0 Santos Laguna INT CF

28/06/2025 02:50

Chivas Guadalajara 3 - 1 Santos Laguna INT CF

20/04/2025 23:00

Santos Laguna 0 - 4 Club Tijuana MEX D1

17/04/2025 03:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 2 - 0 Santos Laguna MEX D1

13/04/2025 23:00

Santos Laguna 1 - 2 Queretaro FC MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Toluca

13/07/2025 01:00

Toluca 3 - 1 Necaxa MEX D1

26/05/2025 01:10

Toluca 2 - 0 Club America MEX D1

23/05/2025 02:05

Club America 0 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

18/05/2025 01:00

Toluca 3 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

15/05/2025 03:00

Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

11/05/2025 01:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Monterrey MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Goals

Scored

325

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

407

Avg. per game

1.59

Scored

492

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

369

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 256 matches

YesNo

178 (70%)78 (30%)

In last 256 matches

NoYes

220 (79%)57 (21%)

Santos Laguna

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Santos Laguna

Toluca

Shots

Santos Laguna

Total shots

11.20 avg / game

Blocked

418 total

Avg. 3.05

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Santos Laguna Pass Toluca

Total passes

59780

Avg. 330 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Santos Laguna

256

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.20

Clean sheets

0.25

4.58

1172

Corners

1167

4.21

5.70

1458

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.11

285

Offsides

363

1.31

2.81

719

GK saves

677

2.44

Santos Laguna

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

464

512

1.85

0.15

0.10

9.68

2478

Fouls

2745

9.91

9.10

2329

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Santos Laguna vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Santos Laguna vs Toluca on 17 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Santos Laguna vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Santos Laguna's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Santos Laguna and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Primera Division de Mexico Predictions

Find every upcoming Primera Division de Mexico fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less