Santa Maria vs Paganese Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – December 16

Santa Maria

D D L L L

No standing data

0-0

16/12/2023 13:30

Paganese

W D D L W

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Santa Maria vs Paganese on December 16, 2023 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Santa Maria vs Paganese preview before placing for you.

Our algorithm prediction: Santa Maria to win with probability 41%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

HT/FT Probability

Pred
HT

Pred
FT

Correct

Coef.

Score.

Weather

13:30

2023-12-16

Santa Maria vs Paganese - Prediction & Odds

Santa Maria

Paganese

2023-12-16 13:30

STANDINGS UP TO 16/12/2023

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Santa Maria and Paganese in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2023 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Santa Maria Last 6 matches

10/12/2023 13:30

Santa Maria 2 - 2 Citta di Fasano ITA S4

03/12/2023 14:00

ASD Martina Franca 0 - 0 Santa Maria ITA S4

26/11/2023 13:30

Santa Maria 3 - 4 SS Angri ITA S4

19/11/2023 13:30

Casarano 2 - 0 Santa Maria ITA S4

12/11/2023 13:30

Santa Maria 0 - 5 Team Altamura ITA S4

05/11/2023 13:30

A.S Andria Bat 5 - 0 Santa Maria ITA S4

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Paganese

10/12/2023 13:30

Paganese 2 - 0 SS Angri ITA S4

03/12/2023 14:00

Team Altamura 1 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

29/11/2023 13:30

Paganese 0 - 0 Cavese ITA S4 CUP

26/11/2023 13:30

Paganese 0 - 1 ASD Martina Franca ITA S4

19/11/2023 13:30

FBC Gravina 2 - 3 Paganese ITA S4

12/11/2023 13:30

Paganese 0 - 1 Casarano ITA S4

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Played games

Santa Maria

Paganese

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.26

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.51

Scored

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 35 matches

YesNo

23 (66%)12 (34%)

In last 35 matches

NoYes

27 (75%)9 (25%)

Santa Maria

Recent matches

Paganese

Under /Over

(77%)27 8(23%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)24 12(33%)

Under /Over

(34%)12 23(66%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)9 27(75%)

Under /Over

(54%)19 16(46%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)14 22(61%)

/Yes

(49%)17 18(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)16 20(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Santa Maria

Paganese

Shots

Santa Maria

Total shots

6.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese

Total shots

10.23 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Santa Maria Pass Paganese

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Santa Maria

Played games

Paganese

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.42

1.57

Corners

2.61

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Santa Maria

DISCIPLINARY

Paganese

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.97

1.56

0.14

0.08

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Santa Maria vs Paganese Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Santa Maria vs Paganese on 16 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Santa Maria vs Paganese Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Santa Maria's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paganese's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Santa Maria and Paganese sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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