San Lorenzo vs Independiente: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 02 May

Prediction Match Centre
San Lorenzo
DWDDW
14th place in Argentine Division 1
X
1-2
Draw
Probability 32%
02/05/2026 17:45
Independiente
LWDWL
11th place in Argentine Division 1
Argentine Division 1
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for San Lorenzo vs Independiente on 02 May 2026 (kick-off: 17:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full San Lorenzo vs Independiente preview before placing your bet.

  • San Lorenzo will face Independiente in Argentine Division 1 on May 2, 2026 at 17:45.
  • San Lorenzo are currently 14th with 22 points after 16 matches.
  • Independiente sit 11th with 24 points from 16 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.81.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
17:45

2026-05-02

San Lorenzo vs Independiente - Prediction & Odds

San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Independiente
2026-05-02 17:45
32
32
36
X
1 - 1
1 - 1
1.75
2.81
FT
1-2 0-1
-
weather
18℃～19℃
STANDINGS UP TO 02/05/2026
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
34 16 10 4 2 29 15 14
02 Estudiantes La Plata Estudiantes La Plata
31 16 9 4 3 19 7 12
03 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
30 16 8 6 2 22 9 13
04 River Plate River Plate
29 16 9 2 5 22 12 10
05 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors
29 16 8 5 3 17 13 4
06 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
28 16 7 7 2 18 12 6
07 Rosario Central Rosario Central
28 16 8 4 4 20 16 4
08 Belgrano Belgrano
26 16 7 5 4 17 13 4
09 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
26 16 7 5 4 17 13 4
10 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata
26 16 8 2 6 19 19 0
11 Independiente Independiente
24 16 6 6 4 24 20 4
12 Lanus Lanus
24 16 6 6 4 18 15 3
13 CA Huracan CA Huracan
22 16 5 7 4 17 13 4
14 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
22 16 5 7 4 14 14 0
15 Club Atlético Unión Club Atlético Unión
21 16 5 6 5 24 20 4
16 Racing Club Racing Club
21 16 5 6 5 17 15 2
17 Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
21 16 6 3 7 17 17 0
18 Barracas Central Barracas Central
21 16 5 6 5 15 15 0
19 Club Atletico Tigre Club Atletico Tigre
20 16 4 8 4 18 15 3
20 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
19 16 4 7 5 18 21 -3
21 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
19 16 6 1 9 13 20 -7
22 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza
19 16 5 4 7 14 22 -8
23 Banfield Banfield
18 16 5 3 8 17 19 -2
24 CA Platense CA Platense
16 16 3 7 6 10 15 -5
25 Central Cordoba SDE Central Cordoba SDE
16 16 4 4 8 11 21 -10
26 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
15 16 3 6 7 15 27 -12
27 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
14 16 3 5 8 15 20 -5
28 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
11 16 1 8 7 5 12 -7
29 Aldosivi Mar del Plata Aldosivi Mar del Plata
8 16 0 8 8 6 19 -13
30 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
5 16 1 2 13 5 24 -19
2nd Stage PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
02 River Plate River Plate
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
03 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
04 Estudiantes La Plata Estudiantes La Plata
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
05 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
06 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08 Lanus Lanus
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09 Rosario Central Rosario Central
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Independiente Independiente
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Racing Club Racing Club
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Banfield Banfield
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Instituto AC Cordoba Instituto AC Cordoba
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Belgrano Belgrano
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Club Atlético Unión Club Atlético Unión
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Aldosivi Mar del Plata Aldosivi Mar del Plata
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Club Atletico Tigre Club Atletico Tigre
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 CA Platense CA Platense
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 CA Huracan CA Huracan
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
25 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
26 Barracas Central Barracas Central
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
27 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
28 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
29 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
30 Central Cordoba SDE Central Cordoba SDE
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Head To Head
21/09/2025 13:30
Independiente Independiente
1 - 1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
ARG D1
08/03/2025 16:00
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1 - 2
Independiente Independiente
ARG D1
03/08/2024 18:15
Independiente Independiente
0 - 0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
ARG D1
01/04/2023 18:00
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
0 - 0
Independiente Independiente
ARG D1
04/06/2022 13:00
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Independiente Independiente
ARG D1
15/01/2022 20:15
Independiente Independiente
0 - 1
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
ARG TPV
Independiente
0
0%
Draw
4
67%
San Lorenzo
2
33%
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo Last 6 matches
28/04/2026 18:00
San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Santos
CON CSA
24/04/2026 20:30
CA Platense 0 - 1 San Lorenzo
ARG D1
20/04/2026 18:30
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
ARG D1
16/04/2026 20:30
San Lorenzo 2 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca
CON CSA
12/04/2026 14:00
Newells Old Boys 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
ARG D1
08/04/2026 18:00
Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
CON CSA
Win
33%
Draw
67%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Independiente Independiente
24/04/2026 16:00
Deportivo Riestra 2 - 0 Independiente
ARG D1
18/04/2026 18:30
Independiente 3 - 1 Defensa Y Justicia
ARG D1
11/04/2026 18:30
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Independiente
ARG D1
04/04/2026 16:30
Independiente 1 - 0 Racing Club
ARG D1
27/03/2026 16:00
Independiente 4 - 2 Atenas
ARG C
21/03/2026 19:00
Independiente 1 - 2 Talleres Cordoba
ARG D1
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Argentine Division 1
Played games
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
17
 Independiente
Independiente
17
Goals
Scored
15
Avg. per game
0.88
Conceded
15
Avg. per game
0.88
Scored
25
Avg. per game
1.47
Conceded
23
Avg. per game
1.35
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 17 matches
YesNo
12 (71%)5 (29%)
In last 17 matches
NoYes
16 (94%)1 (6%)
San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo

Recent matches

Independiente

Independiente

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

Under /Over

(12%)2 15(88%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

/Yes

(41%)7 10(59%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Independiente Independiente
Shots
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
Total shots
8.71 avg / game
Blocked
35 total
Avg. 2.06
Independiente
Independiente
Total shots
9.18 avg / game
Blocked
46 total
Avg. 2.88
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo Pass Independiente Independiente
Total passes
5253
Avg. 309 / game
Accurate
73%
Ball possession
48%
Total passes
4878
Avg. 287 / game
Accurate
74%
Ball possession
54%
TOTAL ATTACKS
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
1327
Avg. 78.06 / game
 Independiente
Independiente
1294
Avg. 76.12 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
769
Avg. 45.24 / game
 Independiente
Independiente
888
Avg. 52.24 / game
OTHERS
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
17
Played games
Independiente
Independiente
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.53
9
Clean sheets
4
0.24
3.53
60
Corners
79
4.65
19.29
328
Throw-ins
314
18.47
1.12
19
Offsides
32
1.88
3.24
55
GK saves
37
2.18
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
DISCIPLINARY
Independiente
Independiente
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.18
37
Yellow card
32
1.88
0.18
3
Red card
1
0.06
11.00
187
Fouls
153
9.00
9.47
161
Tackles
117
6.88
NEXT MATCHES
07/17
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
VS
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
ARG
07/25
Lanus Lanus
VS
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
ARG
07/28
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
VS
Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza
ARG
08/03
Central Cordoba SDE Central Cordoba SDE
VS
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
ARG
08/09
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
VS
CA Huracan CA Huracan
ARG
NEXT MATCHES
07/26
Estudiantes La Plata Estudiantes La Plata
VS
Independiente Independiente
ARG
07/30
Independiente Independiente
VS
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
ARG
08/03
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
VS
Independiente Independiente
ARG
08/09
Independiente Independiente
VS
CA Platense CA Platense
ARG
08/16
Lanus Lanus
VS
Independiente Independiente
ARG

How We Build the San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for San Lorenzo vs Independiente on 02 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Argentine Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

San Lorenzo vs Independiente Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess San Lorenzo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Argentine Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Argentine Division 1 standings and the Argentine Division 1 form table to understand exactly where San Lorenzo and Independiente sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Argentine Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Argentine Division 1 Predictions

Find every upcoming Argentine Division 1 fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less