San Jose Earthquakes Reserve vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

W L D L D

No standing data

0-1

28/09/2025 18:00

Tacoma Defiance

L W L L L

No standing data

USA MLS Next Pro League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for San Jose Earthquakes Reserve vs Tacoma Defiance on September 28, 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full San Jose Earthquakes Reserve vs Tacoma Defiance preview before placing for you.

Our algorithm prediction: San Jose Earthquakes Reserve to win with probability 67%.
Head-to-head history favors Tacoma Defiance, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. San Jose Earthquakes Reserve have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-09-28

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve vs Tacoma Defiance - Prediction & Odds

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

Tacoma Defiance

2025-09-28 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of San Jose Earthquakes Reserve and Tacoma Defiance in the USA MLS Next Pro League football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

03/07/2025 22:00

Tacoma Defiance

4 - 4

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

MLS Next PL

14/03/2025 22:00

Tacoma Defiance

3 - 1

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

MLS Next PL

25/08/2024 20:00

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

1 - 1

Tacoma Defiance

MLS Next PL

11/06/2024 20:00

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

2 - 1

Tacoma Defiance

MLS Next PL

25/04/2024 22:00

Tacoma Defiance

3 - 2

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

MLS Next PL

10/09/2023 22:00

Tacoma Defiance

3 - 2

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

MLS Next PL

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

17%

Draw

33%

Tacoma Defiance

50%

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 22:00

Ventura County FC 0 - 4 San Jose Earthquakes Reserve MLS Next PL

13/09/2025 16:00

Vancouver Whitecaps Reserve 3 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Reserve MLS Next PL

06/09/2025 20:00

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve 2 - 2 Portland Timbers Reserve MLS Next PL

31/08/2025 20:00

MINNESOTA United B 1 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes Reserve MLS Next PL

27/08/2025 22:00

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve 0 - 0 Real Monarchs MLS Next PL

22/08/2025 20:00

Houston Dynamo B 0 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Reserve MLS Next PL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Tacoma Defiance

21/09/2025 22:00

Tacoma Defiance 1 - 4 Colorado Rapids II MLS Next PL

17/09/2025 20:00

Houston Dynamo B 1 - 2 Tacoma Defiance MLS Next PL

12/09/2025 22:00

Tacoma Defiance 1 - 2 Austin FC II MLS Next PL

04/09/2025 22:00

Tacoma Defiance 1 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps Reserve MLS Next PL

31/08/2025 21:30

Real Monarchs 3 - 0 Tacoma Defiance MLS Next PL

24/08/2025 23:00

Portland Timbers Reserve 2 - 1 Tacoma Defiance MLS Next PL

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USA MLS Next Pro Leagu...

Played games

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

Tacoma Defiance

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored

Avg. per game

2.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

25 (83%)5 (17%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

26 (93%)2 (7%)

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

Recent matches

Tacoma Defiance

Under /Over

(83%)25 5(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(96%)27 1(4%)

Under /Over

(50%)15 15(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)14 14(50%)

Under /Over

(70%)21 9(30%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(75%)21 7(25%)

/Yes

(60%)18 12(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(89%)25 3(11%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

Tacoma Defiance

Shots

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

Total shots

13.67 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 4.27

Tacoma Defiance

Total shots

13.00 avg / game

Blocked

52 total

Avg. 4.00

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve Pass Tacoma Defiance

Total passes

12750

Avg. 440 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

11235

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

OTHERS

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

Played games

Tacoma Defiance

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.04

4.77

143

Corners

161

5.75

16.53

496

Throw-ins

511

18.25

1.97

Offsides

2.00

2.57

GK saves

3.21

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

DISCIPLINARY

Tacoma Defiance

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.50

1.75

0.07

0.07

13.57

407

Fouls

327

11.68

11.13

334

Tackles

308

11.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/08

MINNESOTA United B

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the San Jose Earthquakes Reserve vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for San Jose Earthquakes Reserve vs Tacoma Defiance on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USA MLS Next Pro League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

San Jose Earthquakes Reserve vs Tacoma Defiance Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess San Jose Earthquakes Reserve's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Tacoma Defiance's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USA MLS Next Pro League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USA MLS Next Pro League standings and the USA MLS Next Pro League form table to understand exactly where San Jose Earthquakes Reserve and Tacoma Defiance sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USA MLS Next Pro League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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