Samoa vs New Zealand: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 November

Prediction Match Centre

Samoa

4th place in FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC)

0-8

New Zealand
Win Probability 98%

17/11/2024 23:30

New Zealand

1st place in FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC)

FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Samoa vs New Zealand on 17 November 2024 (kick-off: 23:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Samoa vs New Zealand preview before placing your bet.

Samoa will face New Zealand in FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) on November 17, 2024 at 23:30.
Samoa are currently 4th with 0 points after 3 matches.
New Zealand sit 1st with 9 points from 3 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 4 - 4 and average coefficient 1.00.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:30

2024-11-17

Samoa vs New Zealand - Prediction & Odds

Samoa

New Zealand

2024-11-17 23:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/11/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 New Zealand	9	3	3	0	0	19	1	18
02 Tahiti	6	3	2	0	1	5	3	2
03 Vanuatu	3	3	1	0	2	5	11	-6
04 Samoa	0	3	0	0	3	1	15	-14

Samoa Last 6 matches

14/11/2024 20:00

Samoa 0 - 3 Tahiti

WCPO

11/10/2024 20:00

Vanuatu 4 - 1 Samoa

WCPO

08/09/2024 19:00

Samoa 1 - 1 Tonga

WCPO

05/09/2024 19:00

Samoa 2 - 0 American Samoa

WCPO

21/06/2024 21:00

Samoa 1 - 2 Papua New Guinea

OFC NC

19/06/2024 00:10

Samoa 1 - 9 Fiji

OFC NC

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches New Zealand

14/11/2024 23:30

New Zealand 8 - 1 Vanuatu

WCPO

13/10/2024 23:00

New Zealand 4 - 0 Malaysia

INT FRL

10/10/2024 19:00

New Zealand 3 - 0 Tahiti

WCPO

10/09/2024 16:00

USA 1 - 1 New Zealand

INT FRL

07/09/2024 18:00

Mexico 3 - 0 New Zealand

INT FRL

29/06/2024 21:00

Vanuatu 0 - 3 New Zealand

OFC NC

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Samoa

New Zealand

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.00

Scored

Avg. per game

3.20

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (60%)2 (40%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (100%)0 (0%)

Samoa

Recent matches

New Zealand

Under /Over

(100%)5 0(0%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)5 0(0%)

Under /Over

(40%)2 3(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(60%)3 2(40%)

Under /Over

(80%)4 1(20%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(100%)5 0(0%)

/Yes

(40%)2 3(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(20%)1 4(80%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Samoa

New Zealand

Shots

Samoa

Total shots

4.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

New Zealand

Total shots

21.67 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Samoa Pass New Zealand

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

18%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

82%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Samoa

Played games

New Zealand

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.20

Clean sheets

0.80

1.00

Corners

7.20

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Samoa

DISCIPLINARY

New Zealand

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.40

0.20

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Samoa vs New Zealand Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Samoa vs New Zealand on 17 November 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Samoa vs New Zealand Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Samoa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against New Zealand's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) form table to understand exactly where Samoa and New Zealand sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) Predictions

Find every upcoming FIFA World Cup qualification (OFC) fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less