Samaxı FC vs Qarabag: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Samaxı FC

LWLLW

8th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

0-0

Qarabag
Win Probability 69%

11/04/2026 07:30

Qarabag

WLWDW

2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Samaxı FC vs Qarabag on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Samaxı FC vs Qarabag preview before placing your bet.

Samaxı FC will face Qarabag in Azerbaijan Premier League on April 11, 2026 at 07:30.
Samaxı FC are currently 8th with 38 points after 33 matches.
Qarabag sit 2nd with 69 points from 33 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.33.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2026-04-11

Samaxı FC vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Samaxı FC

Qarabag

2026-04-11 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sabah FK Baku	78	33	24	6	3	75	25	50
02 Qarabag	69	33	21	6	6	71	27	44
03 FC Neftci Baku	59	33	16	11	6	57	32	25
04 Turan Tovuz	59	33	17	8	8	44	27	17
05 Zira FK	53	33	13	14	6	43	36	7
06 Araz Nakhchivan	46	33	13	7	13	44	58	-14
07 Standard Sumgayit	38	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8
08 Samaxı FC	38	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9
09 Mil Mugan	37	33	8	13	12	24	40	-16
10 Qabala	27	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca	27	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36
12 Karvan Evlakh	15	33	3	6	24	23	66	-43

Head To Head

04/03/2026 11:00

Qarabag

3 - 1

Samaxı FC

AZE CUP

10/02/2026 06:50

Samaxı FC

1 - 2

Qarabag

AZE D1

05/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC

2 - 1

Qarabag

AZE CUP

26/10/2025 10:30

Qarabag

0 - 0

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

24/05/2025 09:00

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

17/01/2025 11:00

Qarabag

3 - 2

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

Qarabag

50%

Draw

17%

Samaxı FC

33%

Samaxı FC Last 6 matches

07/04/2026 09:15

Zira FK 1 - 1 Samaxı FC

AZE D1

18/03/2026 07:00

Samaxı FC 0 - 1 Araz Nakhchivan

AZE D1

13/03/2026 12:30

Standard Sumgayit 0 - 1 Samaxı FC

AZE D1

08/03/2026 07:00

Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Mil Mugan

AZE D1

04/03/2026 11:00

Qarabag 3 - 1 Samaxı FC

AZE CUP

28/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC 2 - 2 FC Neftci Baku

AZE D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Qarabag

06/04/2026 11:00

Qarabag 7 - 0 Karvan Evlakh

AZE D1

03/04/2026 12:00

Qarabag 2 - 2 Sabah FK Baku

AZE CUP

20/03/2026 07:00

FK Kapaz Ganca 1 - 0 Qarabag

AZE D1

14/03/2026 11:15

Zira FK 1 - 3 Qarabag

AZE D1

08/03/2026 11:15

Qarabag 6 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan

AZE D1

04/03/2026 11:00

Qarabag 3 - 1 Samaxı FC

AZE CUP

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Played games

Samaxı FC

Qarabag

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored

Avg. per game

2.25

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

13 (68%)6 (32%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

24 (86%)4 (14%)

Samaxı FC

Recent matches

Qarabag

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)22 6(21%)

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)11 17(61%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)16 12(43%)

/Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(43%)12 16(57%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Samaxı FC

Qarabag

Shots

Samaxı FC

Total shots

9.22 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Qarabag

Total shots

14.11 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 2.29

Samaxı FC Pass Qarabag

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

2273

Avg. 325 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Samaxı FC

Played games

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.46

4.26

Corners

178

6.36

0.00

Throw-ins

111

3.96

0.16

Offsides

0.64

0.26

GK saves

0.93

Samaxı FC

DISCIPLINARY

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

1.14

0.05

0.00

1.53

Fouls

2.82

0.00

Tackles

1.82

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Samaxı FC vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Samaxı FC vs Qarabag on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Samaxı FC vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Samaxı FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Samaxı FC and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Azerbaijan Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming Azerbaijan Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less