Samaxı FC vs Qarabag: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Prediction Match Centre
Samaxı FC
LWLLW
8th place in Azerbaijan Premier League
2
0-0
Qarabag
Win Probability 69%
11/04/2026 04:30
Qarabag
WLWDW
2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League
Azerbaijan Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Samaxı FC vs Qarabag on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 04:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Samaxı FC vs Qarabag preview before placing your bet.

  • Samaxı FC will face Qarabag in Azerbaijan Premier League on April 11, 2026 at 04:30.
  • Samaxı FC are currently 8th with 38 points after 33 matches.
  • Qarabag sit 2nd with 69 points from 33 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.33.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
04:30

2026-04-11

Samaxı FC vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
Qarabag
Qarabag
2026-04-11 04:30
11
20
69
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.33
FT
0-0 0-0
-
weather
15°C
STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Sabah FK Baku Sabah FK Baku
78 33 24 6 3 75 25 50
02 Qarabag Qarabag
69 33 21 6 6 71 27 44
03 FC Neftci Baku FC Neftci Baku
59 33 16 11 6 57 32 25
04 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz
59 33 17 8 8 44 27 17
05 Zira FK Zira FK
53 33 13 14 6 43 36 7
06 Araz Nakhchivan Araz Nakhchivan
46 33 13 7 13 44 58 -14
07 Standard Sumgayit Standard Sumgayit
38 33 11 5 17 42 50 -8
08 Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
38 33 9 11 13 31 40 -9
09 Mil Mugan Mil Mugan
37 33 8 13 12 24 40 -16
10 Qabala Qabala
27 33 7 6 20 32 49 -17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca FK Kapaz Ganca
27 33 8 3 22 25 61 -36
12 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh
15 33 3 6 24 23 66 -43
Head To Head
04/03/2026 08:00
Qarabag Qarabag
3 - 1
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE CUP
10/02/2026 03:50
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
1 - 2
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
05/02/2026 03:30
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
2 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE CUP
26/10/2025 07:30
Qarabag Qarabag
0 - 0
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE D1
24/05/2025 06:00
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
0 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
17/01/2025 08:00
Qarabag Qarabag
3 - 2
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE D1
Qarabag
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
Samaxı FC
2
33%
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC Last 6 matches
07/04/2026 06:15
Zira FK 1 - 1 Samaxı FC
AZE D1
18/03/2026 04:00
Samaxı FC 0 - 1 Araz Nakhchivan
AZE D1
13/03/2026 09:30
Standard Sumgayit 0 - 1 Samaxı FC
AZE D1
08/03/2026 04:00
Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Mil Mugan
AZE D1
04/03/2026 08:00
Qarabag 3 - 1 Samaxı FC
AZE CUP
28/02/2026 03:30
Samaxı FC 2 - 2 FC Neftci Baku
AZE D1
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Qarabag Qarabag
06/04/2026 08:00
Qarabag 7 - 0 Karvan Evlakh
AZE D1
03/04/2026 09:00
Qarabag 2 - 2 Sabah FK Baku
AZE CUP
20/03/2026 04:00
FK Kapaz Ganca 1 - 0 Qarabag
AZE D1
14/03/2026 08:15
Zira FK 1 - 3 Qarabag
AZE D1
08/03/2026 08:15
Qarabag 6 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan
AZE D1
04/03/2026 08:00
Qarabag 3 - 1 Samaxı FC
AZE CUP
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...
Played games
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
33
 Qarabag
Qarabag
33
Goals
Scored
31
Avg. per game
0.94
Conceded
40
Avg. per game
1.21
Scored
71
Avg. per game
2.15
Conceded
27
Avg. per game
0.82
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 33 matches
YesNo
21 (64%)12 (36%)
In last 33 matches
NoYes
27 (82%)6 (18%)
Samaxı FC

Samaxı FC

Recent matches

Qarabag

Qarabag

Under /Over

(67%)22 11(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)25 8(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)8 25(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)10 23(70%)

Under /Over

(45%)15 18(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(52%)17 16(48%)

/Yes

(42%)14 19(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(45%)15 18(55%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
Qarabag Qarabag
Shots
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
Total shots
8.44 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Qarabag
Qarabag
Total shots
14.59 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC Pass Qarabag Qarabag
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
44%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
60%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
2811
Avg. 85.18 / game
 Qarabag
Qarabag
3526
Avg. 106.85 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
1486
Avg. 45.03 / game
 Qarabag
Qarabag
2400
Avg. 72.73 / game
OTHERS
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
33
Played games
Qarabag
Qarabag
33
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.39
13
Clean sheets
14
0.42
3.58
118
Corners
223
6.76
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.27
9
GK saves
2
0.06
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
DISCIPLINARY
Qarabag
Qarabag
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.00
66
Yellow card
48
1.45
0.06
2
Red card
1
0.03
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
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VS
Vestri Vestri
UEF
07/16
Vestri Vestri
VS
Qarabag Qarabag
UEF

How We Build the Samaxı FC vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Samaxı FC vs Qarabag on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Samaxı FC vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Samaxı FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Samaxı FC and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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