Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 20 May

Sagan Tosu

W D D L D

14th place in J-League Division 1

2-0

20/05/2023 04:00

Albirex Niigata

W D W D D

10th place in J-League Division 1

J-League Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata on 20 May 2023 (kick-off: 04:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata preview before placing your bet.

Sagan Tosu are currently 14th with 38 points after 34 matches.
Albirex Niigata sit 10th with 45 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sagan Tosu to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Albirex Niigata, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Sagan Tosu have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:00

2023-05-20

Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata - Prediction & Odds

Sagan Tosu

Albirex Niigata

2023-05-20 04:00

STANDINGS UP TO 20/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Vissel Kobe	71	34	21	8	5	60	29	31
02 Yokohama Marinos	64	34	19	7	8	63	40	23
03 Hiroshima Sanfrecce	58	34	17	7	10	42	28	14
04 Urawa Red Diamonds	57	34	15	12	7	42	27	15
05 Kashima Antlers	52	34	14	10	10	43	34	9
06 Nagoya Grampus	52	34	14	10	10	41	36	5
07 Avispa Fukuoka	51	34	15	6	13	37	43	-6
08 Kawasaki Frontale	50	34	14	8	12	51	45	6
09 Cerezo Osaka	49	34	15	4	15	39	34	5
10 Albirex Niigata	45	34	11	12	11	36	40	-4
11 FC Tokyo	43	34	12	7	15	42	46	-4
12 Consadole Sapporo	40	34	10	10	14	56	61	-5
13 Kyoto Sanga	40	34	12	4	18	40	45	-5
14 Sagan Tosu	38	34	9	11	14	43	47	-4
15 Shonan Bellmare	34	34	8	10	16	40	56	-16
16 Gamba Osaka	34	34	9	7	18	38	61	-23
17 Kashiwa Reysol	33	34	6	15	13	33	47	-14
18 Yokohama FC	29	34	7	8	19	31	58	-27

Head To Head

29/10/2017 01:00

Albirex Niigata

1 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

08/04/2017 02:00

Sagan Tosu

3 - 0

Albirex Niigata

JPN D1

15/03/2017 06:00

Sagan Tosu

2 - 2

Albirex Niigata

JPN LC

27/08/2016 06:00

Sagan Tosu

1 - 0

Albirex Niigata

JPN D1

25/06/2016 06:00

Albirex Niigata

1 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

27/03/2016 02:00

Albirex Niigata

1 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN LC

Sagan Tosu

33%

Draw

17%

Albirex Niigata

50%

Sagan Tosu Last 6 matches

14/05/2023 00:30

Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 0 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

10/05/2023 06:30

Urawa Red Diamonds 0 - 2 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

07/05/2023 02:00

Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 0 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

03/05/2023 02:00

Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 Yokohama Marinos JPN D1

23/04/2023 01:00

Kyoto Sanga 2 - 3 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

19/04/2023 06:00

Consadole Sapporo 4 - 1 Sagan Tosu JPN LC

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Albirex Niigata

14/05/2023 00:30

Albirex Niigata 2 - 1 Yokohama Marinos JPN D1

07/05/2023 01:00

Albirex Niigata 0 - 0 Kashiwa Reysol JPN D1

03/05/2023 06:00

Yokohama FC 1 - 0 Albirex Niigata JPN D1

29/04/2023 02:00

FC Tokyo 2 - 1 Albirex Niigata JPN D1

23/04/2023 01:00

Albirex Niigata 0 - 2 Kashima Antlers JPN D1

19/04/2023 06:00

Kashiwa Reysol 3 - 2 Albirex Niigata JPN LC

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues J-League Division 1

Played games

Goals

Scored

312

Avg. per game

1.23

Conceded

329

Avg. per game

1.30

Scored

343

Avg. per game

1.29

Conceded

336

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 254 matches

YesNo

178 (70%)76 (30%)

In last 254 matches

NoYes

195 (74%)70 (26%)

Sagan Tosu

Recent matches

Albirex Niigata

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sagan Tosu

Albirex Niigata

Shots

Sagan Tosu

Total shots

10.05 avg / game

Blocked

273 total

Avg. 2.79

Albirex Niigata

Total shots

11.13 avg / game

Blocked

277 total

Avg. 3.90

Sagan Tosu Pass Albirex Niigata

Total passes

64291

Avg. 476 / game

Accurate

771%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

61165

Avg. 556 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sagan Tosu

254

Played games

Albirex Niigata

265

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.31

4.57

1160

Corners

1264

4.77

1.37

347

Throw-ins

1177

4.44

1.40

355

Offsides

258

0.97

2.59

659

GK saves

496

1.87

Sagan Tosu

DISCIPLINARY

Albirex Niigata

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.06

270

247

0.93

0.05

0.03

8.87

2254

Fouls

1751

6.61

5.78

1467

Tackles

1240

4.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata on 20 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this J-League Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sagan Tosu vs Albirex Niigata Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sagan Tosu's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Albirex Niigata's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

J-League Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live J-League Division 1 standings and the J-League Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Sagan Tosu and Albirex Niigata sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our J-League Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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