Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 January

Rio Ave
WDLDL
12th place in Portugal Primera Liga
1
3-1
FT
04/01/2026 11:30
Casa Pia AC
DLLLW
16th place in Portugal Primera Liga
Portugal Primera Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC on 04 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC preview before placing your bet.

  • Rio Ave are currently 12th with 36 points after 34 matches.
  • Casa Pia AC sit 16th with 30 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Rio Ave to win with probability 40%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Rio Ave, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Casa Pia AC have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:30

2026-01-04

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC - Prediction & Odds

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
2026-01-04 11:30
40
28
32
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.23
FT
3-1 0-0
-
weather
15℃～16℃
STANDINGS UP TO 04/01/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 FC Porto FC Porto
88 34 28 4 2 66 18 48
02 Sporting CP Sporting CP
82 34 25 7 2 89 24 65
03 Benfica Benfica
80 34 23 11 0 74 25 49
04 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga
59 34 16 11 7 64 36 28
05 FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
56 34 15 11 8 42 29 13
06 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
50 34 13 11 10 47 38 9
07 Moreirense Moreirense
43 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12
08 FC Arouca FC Arouca
42 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
42 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12
10 Estoril Estoril
39 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3
11 Alverca Alverca
39 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave
36 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara
36 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9
14 Nacional da Madeira Nacional da Madeira
34 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8
15 Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
30 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18
16 Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
30 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26
17 CD Tondela CD Tondela
28 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28
18 AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
21 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40
Head To Head
29/03/2025 11:30
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
2 - 1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR D1
12/01/2025 12:45
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
1 - 3
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR CUP
02/11/2024 11:30
Rio Ave Rio Ave
2 - 2
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
POR D1
11/02/2024 11:30
Rio Ave Rio Ave
1 - 0
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
POR D1
02/09/2023 10:30
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
1 - 1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR D1
16/04/2023 10:30
Rio Ave Rio Ave
1 - 1
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
POR D1
Rio Ave
2
33%
Draw
3
50%
Casa Pia AC
1
17%
Rio Ave Rio Ave Last 6 matches
28/12/2025 16:30
Sporting CP 4 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1
20/12/2025 14:00
Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Rio Ave POR D1
13/12/2025 14:00
Rio Ave 0 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1
06/12/2025 14:00
AVS Futebol SAD 1 - 2 Rio Ave POR D1
30/11/2025 11:30
Rio Ave 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1
08/11/2025 11:30
Alverca 1 - 1 Rio Ave POR D1
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
28/12/2025 11:30
Casa Pia AC 0 - 0 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1
21/12/2025 14:00
CD Tondela 1 - 2 Casa Pia AC POR D1
17/12/2025 14:30
Casa Pia AC 1 - 2 SCU Torreense POR CUP
13/12/2025 11:30
Casa Pia AC 1 - 1 Gil Vicente POR D1
06/12/2025 11:30
Santa Clara 1 - 0 Casa Pia AC POR D1
29/11/2025 11:30
Casa Pia AC 0 - 2 Alverca POR D1
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Primera Liga
Played games
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
17
 Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
17
Goals
Scored
17
Avg. per game
1.00
Conceded
29
Avg. per game
1.71
Scored
18
Avg. per game
1.06
Conceded
26
Avg. per game
1.53
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 17 home matches
YesNo
10 (59%)7 (41%)
In last 17 home matches
NoYes
10 (59%)7 (41%)
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Recent matches

Casa Pia AC

Casa Pia AC

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)5 12(71%)

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)5 12(71%)

/Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
Shots
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Total shots
12.41 avg / game
Blocked
66 total
Avg. 4.40
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
Total shots
7.75 avg / game
Blocked
26 total
Avg. 1.86
Rio Ave Rio Ave Pass Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
Total passes
6691
Avg. 394 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
48%
Total passes
4846
Avg. 303 / game
Accurate
71%
Ball possession
41%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
1443
Avg. 84.88 / game
 Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
1272
Avg. 74.82 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
606
Avg. 35.65 / game
 Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
544
Avg. 32.00 / game
OTHERS
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
17
Played games
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.18
3
Clean sheets
2
0.12
5.12
87
Corners
52
3.06
18.24
310
Throw-ins
290
17.06
1.24
21
Offsides
16
0.94
3.24
55
GK saves
46
2.71
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
DISCIPLINARY
Casa Pia AC
Casa Pia AC
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.53
43
Yellow card
50
2.94
0.29
5
Red card
3
0.18
12.29
209
Fouls
272
16.00
9.41
160
Tackles
139
8.18
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
CD Tondela CD Tondela
INT
08/09
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
VS
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR
08/15
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
FC Porto FC Porto
POR
08/23
Estoril Estoril
VS
Rio Ave Rio Ave
POR
08/30
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
Sporting CP Sporting CP
POR
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Leixoes Leixoes
VS
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
INT
08/08
Maritimo Maritimo
VS
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
POR
08/16
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
VS
Benfica Benfica
POR
08/23
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
VS
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
POR
08/30
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
VS
Moreirense Moreirense
POR

How We Build the Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC on 04 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rio Ave's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Casa Pia AC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Rio Ave and Casa Pia AC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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