Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 09

Rhode Island

W D L W W

13th place in USL First Division

1-1

09/05/2026 19:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies

L W L D W

1st place in USL First Division

USL First Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies on May 09, 2026 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview before placing for you.

Rhode Island are currently 13th with 22 points after 16 matches.
Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st with 38 points from 18 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Rhode Island, who have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. Tampa Bay Rowdies have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2026-05-09

Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies - Prediction & Odds

Rhode Island

Tampa Bay Rowdies

2026-05-09 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tampa Bay Rowdies	38	18	11	5	2	33	19	14
02 Orange County Blues FC	34	18	9	7	2	29	19	10
03 San Antonio	31	18	8	7	3	25	20	5
04 Charleston Battery	30	18	9	3	6	37	24	13
05 Detroit City	28	17	8	4	5	25	17	8
06 New Mexico United	27	15	8	3	4	20	15	5
07 Louisville City FC	27	18	8	3	7	32	31	1
08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	26	18	8	2	8	20	20	0
09 Sacramento Republic FC	26	16	7	5	4	24	15	9
10 FC Tulsa	26	16	7	5	4	19	16	3
11 Lexington	25	17	7	4	6	27	22	5
12 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	25	17	7	4	6	28	24	4
13 Rhode Island	22	16	6	4	6	25	19	6
14 El Paso Locomotive FC	22	17	6	4	7	27	27	0
15 Las Vegas Lights	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
16 Phoenix Rising FC	22	18	5	7	6	24	25	-1
17 Miami FC	22	19	5	7	7	24	31	-7
18 Indy Eleven	21	16	6	3	7	19	20	-1
19 Oakland Roots	21	18	5	6	7	25	28	-3
20 Hartford Athletic	20	17	4	8	5	12	16	-4
21 Loudoun United	18	17	3	9	5	21	29	-8
22 Birmingham Legion	17	17	3	8	6	18	21	-3
23 Monterey Bay FC	15	18	4	3	11	19	30	-11
24 Brooklyn FC	13	17	3	4	10	17	32	-15
25 Sporting Jax	8	19	1	5	13	23	51	-28

Head To Head

11/10/2025 19:00

Rhode Island

5 - 0

Tampa Bay Rowdies

USL CH

17/05/2025 19:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies

0 - 3

Rhode Island

USL CH

05/10/2024 19:30

Rhode Island

3 - 1

Tampa Bay Rowdies

USL CH

30/03/2024 19:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies

4 - 1

Rhode Island

USL CH

Rhode Island

75%

Draw

Tampa Bay Rowdies

25%

Rhode Island Last 6 matches

02/05/2026 19:30

Rhode Island 1 - 3 Birmingham Legion USL CH

25/04/2026 19:00

Hartford Athletic 0 - 0 Rhode Island USA ULOC

22/04/2026 19:30

Rhode Island 4 - 0 Charleston Battery USL CH

14/04/2026 19:00

New England Revolution 1 - 1 Rhode Island USA CUP

11/04/2026 19:00

Lexington 1 - 3 Rhode Island USL CH

04/04/2026 16:00

Rhode Island 0 - 0 Detroit City USL CH

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Tampa Bay Rowdies

02/05/2026 19:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 0 Indy Eleven USL CH

25/04/2026 19:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 0 Sarasota Paradise USA ULOC

18/04/2026 15:00

Charleston Battery 1 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies USL CH

11/04/2026 19:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 2 Oakland Roots USL CH

04/04/2026 19:30

Sporting Jax 0 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies USL CH

28/03/2026 19:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies 3 - 1 Loudoun United USL CH

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USL First Division

Played games

Goals

Scored

156

Avg. per game

1.49

Conceded

116

Avg. per game

1.10

Scored

391

Avg. per game

1.74

Conceded

267

Avg. per game

1.19

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 105 matches

YesNo

73 (70%)32 (30%)

In last 105 matches

NoYes

184 (82%)41 (18%)

Rhode Island

Recent matches

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rhode Island

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Shots

Rhode Island

Total shots

8.01 avg / game

Blocked

158 total

Avg. 2.43

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Total shots

5.09 avg / game

Blocked

145 total

Avg. 1.69

Rhode Island Pass Tampa Bay Rowdies

Total passes

25170

Avg. 257 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

36391

Avg. 197 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rhode Island

105

Played games

Tampa Bay Rowdies

225

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.31

2.82

296

Corners

497

2.21

10.12

1063

Throw-ins

691

3.07

0.86

Offsides

137

0.61

1.47

154

GK saves

202

0.90

Rhode Island

DISCIPLINARY

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

154

190

0.84

0.09

0.02

8.83

927

Fouls

1207

5.36

7.67

805

Tackles

1032

4.59

NEXT MATCHES

08/08

Rhode Island

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

NEXT MATCHES

Orange County Blues FC

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

How We Build the Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USL First Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rhode Island's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Tampa Bay Rowdies's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USL First Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USL First Division standings and the USL First Division form table to understand exactly where Rhode Island and Tampa Bay Rowdies sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USL First Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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