Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Real Madrid

W W L W W

2nd place in Spanish La Liga

2-0

05/10/2024 15:00

Villarreal

W W W W W

5th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Villarreal on 05 October 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Villarreal preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid are currently 2nd with 84 points after 38 matches.
Villarreal sit 5th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 77%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Real Madrid and Villarreal have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-10-05

Real Madrid vs Villarreal - Prediction & Odds

Real Madrid

Villarreal

2024-10-05 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

19/05/2024 13:00

Villarreal

4 - 4

Real Madrid

SPA D1

17/12/2023 16:00

Real Madrid

4 - 1

Villarreal

SPA D1

08/04/2023 15:00

Real Madrid

2 - 3

Villarreal

SPA D1

19/01/2023 16:00

Villarreal

2 - 3

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

07/01/2023 11:15

Villarreal

2 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

12/02/2022 11:15

Villarreal

0 - 0

Real Madrid

SPA D1

Real Madrid

33%

Draw

33%

Villarreal

33%

Real Madrid Last 6 matches

24/09/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 3 - 2 Alaves SPA D1

21/09/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 4 - 1 RCD Espanyol SPA D1

17/09/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 3 - 1 VfB Stuttgart UEFA CL

14/09/2024 15:00

Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

01/09/2024 15:30

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Real Betis SPA D1

29/08/2024 15:30

Las Palmas 1 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Villarreal

26/09/2024 13:00

RCD Espanyol 1 - 2 Villarreal SPA D1

22/09/2024 12:30

Villarreal 1 - 5 FC Barcelona SPA D1

14/09/2024 08:00

Mallorca 1 - 2 Villarreal SPA D1

31/08/2024 15:30

Valencia 1 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

26/08/2024 15:30

Villarreal 4 - 3 Celta Vigo SPA D1

23/08/2024 15:30

Sevilla 1 - 2 Villarreal SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

629

Avg. per game

2.10

Conceded

314

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

524

Avg. per game

1.75

Conceded

405

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

266 (89%)34 (11%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

238 (79%)62 (21%)

Real Madrid

Recent matches

Villarreal

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Shots

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.09 avg / game

Blocked

1059 total

Avg. 4.25

Villarreal

Total shots

12.46 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 3.14

Real Madrid Pass Villarreal

Total passes

168019

Avg. 585 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

114264

Avg. 455 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Madrid

300

Played games

Villarreal

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

110

Clean sheets

0.24

5.83

1749

Corners

1373

4.58

15.02

4506

Throw-ins

4295

14.32

1.87

562

Offsides

561

1.87

2.92

875

GK saves

758

2.53

Real Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Villarreal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

534

627

2.09

0.08

0.10

9.73

2920

Fouls

3173

10.58

12.85

3854

Tackles

3504

11.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Villarreal on 05 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Villarreal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Villarreal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Spanish La Liga Predictions

Find every upcoming Spanish La Liga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less