Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Starting Lineups Time : 14/02/2026 16:00

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Finished
Real Sociedad
79' event Jorge Cestero Sancho / Aurelien Tchouameni
73' event Brahim Diaz / Santiago Federico Valverde Dipetta
73' event Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Eduardo Camavinga
60' event David Alaba / Antonio Rudiger
60' event Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Trent John Alexander-Arnold
48' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
31' event Santiago Federico Valverde Dipetta
25' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
20' event Dean Huijsen
5' event Gonzalo Garcia Torres
event 90+2' Benat Turrientes
event 73' Dani Diaz / Pablo Marin Tejada
event 60' Benat Turrientes / Yangel Herrera
event 60' Orri Steinn Oskarsson / Mikel Oyarzabal
event 46' Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes / Wesley Gassova
event 21' Mikel Oyarzabal
79' event Jorge Cestero Sancho / Aurelien Tchouameni
event 90+2' Benat Turrientes
73' event Brahim Diaz / Santiago Federico Valverde Dipetta
event 73' Dani Diaz / Pablo Marin Tejada
73' event Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Eduardo Camavinga
event 60' Benat Turrientes / Yangel Herrera
60' event David Alaba / Antonio Rudiger
event 60' Orri Steinn Oskarsson / Mikel Oyarzabal
60' event Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Trent John Alexander-Arnold
event 46' Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes / Wesley Gassova
48' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
event 21' Mikel Oyarzabal
31' event Santiago Federico Valverde Dipetta
25' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
20' event Dean Huijsen
5' event Gonzalo Garcia Torres
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Substitutions
#4 David Alaba
#21 Brahim Diaz
#2 Daniel Carvajal Ramos
#19 Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
#28 Jorge Cestero Sancho
#30 Franco Mastantuono
#23 Ferland Mendy
#10 Kylian Mbappe
#17 Raul Asencio
#13 Andriy Lunin
#20 Fran Garcia
#38 Cesar Palacios
Real Madrid Real Madrid Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
11Shots13
5Shots on Goal3
10Fouls9
4Corner Kick6
7Free kick9
5Offside1
1Yellow card1
6Aerial13
2Save0
7Successful Tackles10
11Interceptions9
34Long pass20
2Assist0
4Successful center8
5Substitution4
3Shots off goal5
3Head Success6
3Blocked5
7Tackle10
4Dribbles5
9Throw-in15
583Passes533
82Attacks97
42Dangerous attacks46
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
5BigChances2
2BigChancesMissed1
9ShotsInsideBox10
2ShotsOutsideBox3
29DuelsWon35
3.1ExpectedGoals1.67
1.51xGOpenPlay0.51
1.52xGNonPenalty0.88
2.59xGOT1.18
27Touches In Opposition Box18
9AccurateCrosses22
26GroundDuelsWon28
3AerialDuelsWon7
8Clearances11
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Substitutions
#9 Orri Steinn Oskarsson
#11 Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
#8 Benat Turrientes
#26 Dani Diaz
#16 Duje Caleta-Car
#6 Aritz Elustondo
#20 Alvaro Odriozola Arzallus
#17 Sergio Gómez Martín
#13 Unai Marrero Larranaga
#19 Jon Karrikaburu
#47 Job Ochieng
#46 Ibai Aguirre
Commentary
90+2' Benat Turrientes - Real Sociedad receive a yellow card
79' Real Madrid — substitution: Jorge Cestero Sancho / Aurelien Tchouameni
73' Real Madrid — substitution: Brahim Diaz / Santiago Federico Valverde Dipetta
73' Real Madrid — substitution: Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Eduardo Camavinga
73' Real Sociedad — substitution: Dani Diaz / Pablo Marin Tejada
60' Real Madrid — substitution: David Alaba / Antonio Rudiger
60' Real Madrid — substitution: Daniel Carvajal Ramos / Trent John Alexander-Arnold
60' Real Sociedad — substitution: Benat Turrientes / Yangel Herrera
60' Real Sociedad — substitution: Orri Steinn Oskarsson / Mikel Oyarzabal
48' Penalty scored! Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid
46' Real Sociedad — substitution: Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes / Wesley Gassova
31' Goal! Santiago Federico Valverde Dipetta - Real Madrid
25' Penalty scored! Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid
21' Penalty scored! Mikel Oyarzabal - Real Sociedad
20' Dean Huijsen - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
5' Goal! Gonzalo Garcia Torres - Real Madrid

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Sociedad's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Real Sociedad sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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