Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 February

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano on 01 February 2026 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Starting Lineups Time : 01/02/2026 09:00

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
90+10' event Kylian Mbappe Lottin
83' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
77' event David Alaba / Dean Huijsen
77' event Rodrygo Silva De Goes / Arda Guler
69' event Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
60' event Gonzalo Garcia Torres / Franco Mastantuono
46' event Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Raul Asencio
15' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
10' event Brahim Diaz / Jude Bellingham
event 90+13' Pep Chavarria
event 90+9' Alfonso Espino
event 84' Carlos Martin / Ilias Akhomach
event 83' Ilias Akhomach
event 83' Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi / Isaac Palazon Camacho
event 82' Augusto Batalla
event 80' Pathe Ciss
event 77' Alfonso Espino / Alvaro Garcia
event 72' Oscar Valentín
event 65' Isaac Palazon Camacho
event 57' Pep Chavarria
event 56' Pedro Diaz Fanjul / Jorge de Frutos Sebastian
event 56' Oscar Valentín / Gerard Gumbau
event 53' Gerard Gumbau
event 49' Jorge de Frutos Sebastian
90+10' event Kylian Mbappe Lottin
event 90+13' Pep Chavarria
83' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
event 90+9' Alfonso Espino
77' event David Alaba / Dean Huijsen
event 84' Carlos Martin / Ilias Akhomach
77' event Rodrygo Silva De Goes / Arda Guler
event 83' Ilias Akhomach
69' event Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
event 83' Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi / Isaac Palazon Camacho
60' event Gonzalo Garcia Torres / Franco Mastantuono
event 82' Augusto Batalla
46' event Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Raul Asencio
event 80' Pathe Ciss
15' event Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
event 77' Alfonso Espino / Alvaro Garcia
10' event Brahim Diaz / Jude Bellingham
event 72' Oscar Valentín
event 65' Isaac Palazon Camacho
event 57' Pep Chavarria
event 56' Pedro Diaz Fanjul / Jorge de Frutos Sebastian
event 56' Oscar Valentín / Gerard Gumbau
event 53' Gerard Gumbau
event 49' Jorge de Frutos Sebastian
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Substitutions
#4 David Alaba
#11 Rodrygo Silva De Goes
#21 Brahim Diaz
#16 Gonzalo Garcia Torres
#19 Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
#2 Daniel Carvajal Ramos
#18 Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
#13 Andriy Lunin
#20 Fran Garcia
#26 Fran Gonzalez
Real Madrid Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
16Shots11
6Shots on Goal4
6Fouls18
9Corner Kick4
17Free kick6
1Offside1
2Yellow card8
0Red card2
15Aerial9
3Save4
11Successful Tackles16
7Interceptions12
22Long pass20
1Assist1
3Successful center0
5Substitution5
6Shots off goal4
2Hit The Post0
7Head Success5
4Blocked3
10Tackle16
7Dribbles4
11Throw-in14
580Passes442
121Attacks68
87Dangerous attacks38
4Corner Kicks(HT)2
3BigChances2
2BigChancesMissed1
12ShotsInsideBox4
4ShotsOutsideBox7
52DuelsWon38
2.14ExpectedGoals0.96
1.03xGOpenPlay0.94
1.35xGNonPenalty0.96
1.2xGOT0.95
54Touches In Opposition Box16
13AccurateCrosses12
45GroundDuelsWon33
7AerialDuelsWon5
17Clearances28
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Substitutions
#5 Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi
#14 Carlos Martin
#4 Pedro Diaz Fanjul
#23 Oscar Valentín
#22 Alfonso Espino
#20 Ivan Balliu Campeny
#8 Oscar Guido Trejo
#9 Alexandre Zurawski
#21 Fran Perez
#10 Sergio Camello
#1 Dani Cardenas
#11 Randy Nteka
Commentary
90+13' Pep Chavarria - Rayo Vallecano receive second yellow card
90+10' Penalty scored! Kylian Mbappe Lottin - Real Madrid
90+9' Alfonso Espino - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
84' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Carlos Martin / Ilias Akhomach
83' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
83' Ilias Akhomach - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
83' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Luiz Felipe Ramos Marchi / Isaac Palazon Camacho
82' Augusto Batalla - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
80' Pathe Ciss - Rayo Vallecano receive a red card
77' Real Madrid — substitution: David Alaba / Dean Huijsen
77' Real Madrid — substitution: Rodrygo Silva De Goes / Arda Guler
77' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Alfonso Espino / Alvaro Garcia
72' Oscar Valentín - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
69' Daniel Ceballos Fernandez - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
65' Isaac Palazon Camacho - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
60' Real Madrid — substitution: Gonzalo Garcia Torres / Franco Mastantuono
57' Pep Chavarria - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
56' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Pedro Diaz Fanjul / Jorge de Frutos Sebastian
56' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Oscar Valentín / Gerard Gumbau
53' Gerard Gumbau - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
49' Goal! Jorge de Frutos Sebastian - Rayo Vallecano
46' Real Madrid — substitution: Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Raul Asencio
15' Goal! Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid
10' Real Madrid — substitution: Brahim Diaz / Jude Bellingham

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano on 01 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rayo Vallecano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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