Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Real Madrid

L W W W D

11th place in Group A

2-1

04/03/2025 16:00

Atletico Madrid

W D W D D

5th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid on 04 March 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid are currently 11th with 15 points after 8 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 5th with 18 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 1 of the last 6 meetings. Real Madrid have no wins, while 5 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-03-04

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2025-03-04 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	21	8	7	0	1	17	5	12
02 FC Barcelona	19	8	6	1	1	28	13	15
03 Arsenal	19	8	6	1	1	16	3	13
04 Inter Milan	19	8	6	1	1	11	1	10
05 Atletico Madrid	18	8	6	0	2	20	12	8
06 Bayer Leverkusen	16	8	5	1	2	15	7	8
07 Lille	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
08 Aston Villa	16	8	5	1	2	13	6	7
09 Atalanta	15	8	4	3	1	20	6	14
10 Borussia Dortmund	15	8	5	0	3	22	12	10
11 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	20	12	8
12 Bayern Munchen	15	8	5	0	3	20	12	8
13 AC Milan	15	8	5	0	3	14	11	3
14 PSV Eindhoven	14	8	4	2	2	16	12	4
15 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	13	8	4	1	3	14	9	5
16 Benfica	13	8	4	1	3	16	12	4
17 Monaco	13	8	4	1	3	13	13	0
18 Stade Brestois	13	8	4	1	3	10	11	-1
19 Feyenoord	13	8	4	1	3	18	21	-3
20 Juventus	12	8	3	3	2	9	7	2
21 Celtic FC	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
22 Manchester City	11	8	3	2	3	18	14	4
23 Sporting CP	11	8	3	2	3	13	12	1
24 Club Brugge	11	8	3	2	3	7	11	-4
25 Dinamo Zagreb	11	8	3	2	3	12	19	-7
26 VfB Stuttgart	10	8	3	1	4	13	17	-4
27 FC Shakhtar Donetsk	7	8	2	1	5	8	16	-8
28 Bologna	6	8	1	3	4	4	9	-5
29 Crvena Zvezda	6	8	2	0	6	13	22	-9
30 Sturm Graz	6	8	2	0	6	5	14	-9
31 Sparta Praha	4	8	1	1	6	7	21	-14
32 RB Leipzig	3	8	1	0	7	8	15	-7
33 Girona	3	8	1	0	7	5	13	-8
34 Red Bull Salzburg	3	8	1	0	7	5	27	-22
35 Slovan Bratislava	0	8	0	0	8	7	27	-20
36 Young Boys	0	8	0	0	8	3	24	-21

Head To Head

08/02/2025 16:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

29/09/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

04/02/2024 16:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

18/01/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid

2 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

10/01/2024 15:00

Real Madrid

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid

SPA SUC

24/09/2023 15:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

Real Madrid

Draw

83%

Atletico Madrid

17%

Real Madrid Last 6 matches

01/03/2025 13:30

Real Betis 2 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

26/02/2025 16:30

Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Real Madrid SPA CUP

23/02/2025 11:15

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Girona SPA D1

19/02/2025 16:00

Real Madrid 3 - 1 Manchester City UEFA CL

15/02/2025 11:15

Osasuna 1 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

11/02/2025 16:00

Manchester City 2 - 3 Real Madrid UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

01/03/2025 16:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

25/02/2025 16:30

FC Barcelona 4 - 4 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

22/02/2025 13:30

Valencia 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

15/02/2025 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Celta Vigo SPA D1

08/02/2025 16:00

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

04/02/2025 16:30

Atletico Madrid 5 - 0 Getafe SPA CUP

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Goals

Scored

628

Avg. per game

2.09

Conceded

314

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

546

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

328

Avg. per game

1.09

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

266 (89%)34 (11%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

247 (82%)53 (18%)

Real Madrid

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.15 avg / game

Blocked

1066 total

Avg. 4.28

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 2.93

Real Madrid Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

168163

Avg. 586 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

134211

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Madrid

300

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

110

Clean sheets

0.33

5.86

1759

Corners

1535

5.12

15.06

4519

Throw-ins

4994

16.65

1.88

564

Offsides

653

2.18

2.92

875

GK saves

759

2.53

Real Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.79

536

644

2.15

0.08

0.13

9.71

2913

Fouls

3320

11.07

12.89

3868

Tackles

4100

13.67

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid on 04 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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